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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks24%9281
1Heat76%10298
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
32.0
35.9
12
46%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
6-13
8-14
46%
54%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
25.1
21.3
0
0%
5
1
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.8
24.4
30.2
12
61%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
48%
2-4
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.3
23.9
33.7
15
44%
6
2
1
1
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
7-14
5-11
50%
48%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.9
23.6
12.3
5
83%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
1-2
50%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
20.0
8.5
4
67%
2
2
3
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
41%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.0
19.1
28.2
3
30%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.0
18.8
24.4
7
58%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
1-4
25%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
18.8
13.8
6
33%
2
1
2
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.9
16.2
9.6
9
52%
6
1
1
0
0
2
4
2
5-6
83%
2-6
2-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.7
9.3
4.1
7
60%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
1-1
60%
45%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.9
8.9
2.6
1
27%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.1
11.8
0
2-4
43%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.2
30.1
35.0
15
46%
7
7
2
2
0
4
3
4
9-12
75%
3-9
7-12
33%
57%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.1
30.1
35.1
23
56%
4
6
5
2
0
1
3
1
5-6
83%
9-17
8-16
53%
53%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
26.0
26.9
14
88%
3
5
3
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
4-7
57%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.0
24.4
31.3
14
54%
3
1
0
1
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
6-11
6-11
55%
53%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
23.8
17.4
6
43%
11
1
0
0
0
0
2
9
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
49%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.6
25.9
22.3
12
59%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-5
80%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
2-4
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
22.0
19.1
2
16%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-3
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.5
18.9
20.3
2
26%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-3
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
16.3
14.5
4
67%
3
0
2
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
55%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
6.8
6.7
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
6.0
3.7
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
6.0
3.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.4
4.0
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.0
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.