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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks45%101115
13Bucks55%102108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
36.6
32.5
14
58%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
2-5
40%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
36.2
21.7
14
78%
8
3
1
1
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
2-4
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.7
31.5
22.2
13
55%
6
7
0
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
40%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.7
31.1
29.2
19
63%
11
3
1
1
1
1
0
11
4-5
80%
6-8
5-10
75%
48%
1-5
20%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.9
2.2
13.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
33.0
21.6
9
45%
8
1
1
1
3
1
1
7
3-7
43%
3-7
4-7
43%
59%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.1
22.4
25.0
23
88%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
7-7
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
4-6
67%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
17.1
27.2
8
41%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
15.4
22.6
8
82%
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
49%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
14.6
5.0
7
58%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
30.4
1
5-9
51%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
2.1
0
0-1
43%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.4
41.4
36.7
32
60%
2
9
2
2
0
4
0
2
6-6
100%
10-18
6-13
56%
48%
2-6
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.5
38.1
25.7
18
75%
6
1
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
4-5
80%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.3
29.6
28.9
13
51%
12
2
1
1
4
1
1
11
3-4
75%
5-11
5-9
45%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.5
27.4
37.7
4
29%
5
5
0
2
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
22.9
30.3
7
39%
3
2
3
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
50%
1-2
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.7
30.8
18.7
17
61%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
6-7
2-3
86%
50%
1-6
17%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
24.7
18.3
14
68%
5
2
0
1
1
0
3
2
2-3
67%
6-9
2-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.9
14.5
7.4
3
52%
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
9.9
12.5
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
0.6
3.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
16.9
0
3-5
53%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.2
10.2
0
2-4
51%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
5.9
0
1-2
46%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.