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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats22%9378
15Raptors78%10392
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
43.4
33.4
22
56%
7
2
3
1
0
1
2
5
5-6
83%
7-15
6-12
47%
46%
1-2
50%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.9
40.5
33.5
20
45%
4
5
3
2
0
3
1
3
8-12
67%
3-9
4-10
33%
44%
2-8
25%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.0
38.2
24.0
10
48%
9
3
3
1
2
2
2
7
2-3
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
0-2
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.5
27.6
26.4
4
16%
3
0
2
1
0
2
2
1
0-2
0%
2-12
4-8
17%
47%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.5
22.7
20.6
4
52%
5
1
2
0
1
1
4
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.9
26.4
21.6
10
31%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-9
3-7
22%
44%
2-7
29%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.8
24.7
10.6
8
84%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.1
8.5
12.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.4
5.1
5.4
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-2
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.5
2.4
10.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.1
0.6
15.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.3
18.3
0
2-3
49%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
4.7
0
1-2
41%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
43.8
29.6
12
51%
21
1
2
1
3
6
8
13
2-2
100%
5-11
5-8
45%
60%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
35.8
26.2
28
77%
3
2
1
1
1
6
0
3
5-5
100%
10-13
5-10
77%
49%
1-3
33%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
30.9
32.4
9
53%
4
4
0
1
1
3
0
4
7-8
88%
1-5
6-12
20%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.0
26.8
27.5
7
35%
6
2
2
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
20.5
27.5
10
78%
6
1
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-1
0%
5-6
4-6
83%
56%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.1
23.9
20.0
9
90%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
1-1
100%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.4
23.2
23.1
6
47%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.8
21.2
12.5
11
58%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
7-8
88%
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
14.0
17.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
54%
0-1
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.3
10.6
0
1-2
47%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.2
4.3
0
0-1
49%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.3
4.2
0
0-1
55%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
3.7
0
0-0
50%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.