Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 15, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 22% | 93 | 78 |
 | 15 | Raptors | 78% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 43% | 93 | 87 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Lakers | 42% | 95 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Timberwolves | 26% | 97 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Magic | 14% | 92 | 104 |
 | 3 | Thunder | 86% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Heat | 61% | 102 | 107 |
 | 12 | Bucks | 39% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Mavericks | 72% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bulls | 42% | 96 | 113 |
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Thursday, March 14, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 31% | 97 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Knicks | 43% | 97 | 90 |
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Wednesday, March 13, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 70% | 98 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 47% | 95 | 93 |
| 20 | Wizards | 53% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 21% | 86 | 91 |
| 7 | Pacers | 79% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 52% | 93 | 88 |
 | 22 | Celtics | 48% | 92 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 52% | 100 | 92 |
| 18 | Hawks | 48% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 19% | 96 | 81 |
| 6 | Rockets | 81% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Thunder | 79% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 59% | 102 | 79 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 37% | 99 | 94 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 63% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 28% | 92 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pistons | 30% | 97 | 97 |
| 16 | Warriors | 70% | 104 | 105 |
Tuesday, March 12, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 74% | 99 | 74 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 26% | 91 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 67% | 105 | 106 |
| 27 | Magic | 33% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 56% | 96 | 90 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 44% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 45% | 96 | 98 | |
 | 18 | Nets | 55% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 24% | 92 | 81 |
| 1 | Heat | 76% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 45% | 101 | 115 |
| 13 | Bucks | 55% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 65% | 99 | 83 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 35% | 94 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 53% | 97 | 102 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 96 | 97 |
Monday, March 11, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 63% | 96 | 97 |
| 25 | 76ers | 37% | 91 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 42% | 98 | 93 |
| 4 | Spurs | 58% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 34% | 96 | 90 |
| 23 | Jazz | 66% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 72% | 105 | 108 |
| 29 | Suns | 28% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 53% | 101 | 63 |
| 18 | Warriors | 47% | 100 | 92 |
Sunday, March 10, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 23% | 91 | 79 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 38% | 96 | 81 |
| 9 | Lakers | 62% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 32% | 96 | 96 |
| 12 | Raptors | 68% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 49% | 96 | 91 |
| 28 | Magic | 51% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 31% | 90 | 91 |
| 2 | Heat | 69% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 100 | 96 |
| 17 | Hornets | 56% | 102 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 61% | 100 | 100 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 39% | 96 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 44% | 105 | 115 |
| 22 | Kings | 56% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 14% | 93 | 97 |
| 3 | Clippers | 86% | 107 | 129 |
Saturday, March 9, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 38% | 94 | 93 |
| 12 | Hawks | 62% | 98 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 24% | 92 | 84 |
| 7 | Knicks | 76% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 23% | 89 | 87 |
| 21 | Wizards | 77% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 39% | 92 | 85 | |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 61% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 23% | 95 | 88 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 77% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 70% | 106 | 105 |
| 29 | Suns | 30% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 103 |
| 16 | Warriors | 56% | 103 | 93 |
Friday, March 8, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 85% | 106 | 116 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 15% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 73% | 98 | 115 |
| 28 | Magic | 27% | 90 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 46% | 93 | 102 |
| 16 | Celtics | 54% | 94 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 41% | 91 | 78 |
| 17 | Nets | 59% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 61% | 102 | 102 |
| 26 | Pistons | 39% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 62% | 98 | 103 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 38% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 14% | 88 | 93 |
| 2 | Heat | 86% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 38% | 92 | 88 |
| 13 | Bulls | 62% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 94 | 136 |
| 4 | Spurs | 80% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 39% | 100 | 112 |
| 23 | Kings | 61% | 104 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 33% | 98 | 116 |
| 9 | Lakers | 67% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 51% | 107 | 94 |
| 14 | Warriors | 49% | 106 | 88 |
Thursday, March 7, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 60% | 100 | 95 |
| 8 | Knicks | 40% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 46% | 102 | 92 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 54% | 103 | 107 |
Wednesday, March 6, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 71% | 101 | 99 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 29% | 94 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 53% | 100 | 101 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 47% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 26% | 86 | 83 |
| 6 | Pacers | 74% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 26% | 90 | 96 |
| 15 | Hawks | 74% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 11% | 90 | 96 |
| 1 | Heat | 89% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 64% | 100 | 87 |
| 27 | Pistons | 36% | 95 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 93 | 85 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 69% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 49% | 101 | 108 |
| 21 | Hornets | 51% | 102 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 52% | 93 | 82 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 48% | 92 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 52% | 105 | 108 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 48% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 30% | 90 | 83 |
| 4 | Spurs | 70% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 55% | 98 | 98 |
| 26 | Suns | 45% | 97 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 24% | 96 | 101 |
| 3 | Clippers | 76% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 26% | 101 | 83 |
| 12 | Warriors | 74% | 110 | 87 |
Tuesday, March 5, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 57% | 92 | 109 |
| 27 | 76ers | 43% | 90 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 28% | 98 | 105 |
| 3 | Thunder | 72% | 105 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 61% | 107 | 120 |
| 24 | Kings | 39% | 103 | 113 |
Monday, March 4, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 62% | 103 | 102 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 38% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 37% | 98 | 108 |
| 13 | Bucks | 63% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 26% | 94 | 105 |
| 21 | Hornets | 74% | 102 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 68% | 100 | 97 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 32% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 31% | 97 | 88 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 69% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 22% | 95 | 105 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 78% | 105 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 41% | 99 | 118 |
| 15 | Warriors | 59% | 102 | 125 |
Sunday, March 3, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 53% | 100 | 99 |
| 6 | Knicks | 47% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 43% | 98 | 108 |
| 3 | Clippers | 57% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 31% | 88 | 87 |
| 19 | Wizards | 69% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 75% | 98 | 108 |
| 29 | Magic | 25% | 89 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 33% | 100 | 83 |
| 24 | Kings | 67% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 35% | 102 | 103 |
| 5 | Rockets | 65% | 107 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 17% | 91 | 75 |
| 4 | Spurs | 83% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 34% | 87 | 92 |
| 8 | Pacers | 66% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 43% | 99 | 98 |
| 12 | Lakers | 57% | 101 | 99 |
Saturday, March 2, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 52% | 99 | 97 |
| 28 | 76ers | 48% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 32% | 90 | 85 |
| 10 | Bulls | 68% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 35% | 97 | 114 |
| 14 | Bucks | 65% | 102 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 45% | 98 | 94 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 100 | 109 |