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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Magic14%92104
3Thunder86%107117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.1
44.9
36.4
26
57%
4
7
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
5-10
3-7
50%
44%
5-12
42%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
41.6
36.2
20
42%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
10-18
5-11
56%
47%
0-6
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
41.5
32.2
21
61%
14
1
1
1
0
1
3
11
5-5
100%
8-15
5-11
53%
49%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
40.1
32.3
19
66%
6
0
3
1
0
2
0
6
10-10
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
32.3
26.9
12
56%
2
0
6
1
0
1
1
1
1-4
25%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
1-3
33%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.0
16.7
16.6
2
17%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
6.0
18.0
2
20%
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.1
6.0
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
4.4
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
4.1
7.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.7
2.4
7.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
8.9
0
2-3
49%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.0
4.7
0
0-1
43%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
36.8
31.2
23
54%
6
6
0
2
0
0
1
5
4-5
80%
5-13
7-14
38%
50%
3-6
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.5
35.9
33.3
26
64%
9
3
3
1
0
6
1
8
9-12
75%
7-10
6-11
70%
56%
1-5
20%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.3
31.6
26.8
5
43%
12
3
0
1
1
3
1
11
1-4
25%
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.9
29.8
26.9
5
51%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
56%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
28.0
28.4
20
76%
6
1
0
0
3
3
2
4
4-7
57%
8-10
4-7
80%
59%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.1
21.8
22.9
15
62%
6
3
0
1
0
2
0
6
5-7
71%
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
18.1
18.1
7
61%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-3
50%
62%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.6
13.7
14.9
4
67%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.9
13.2
16.7
4
52%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.5
11.2
6.7
8
80%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
54%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.1
9.2
0
1-1
59%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.0
4.2
0
0-1
49%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.8
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 25.0
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.