Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Heat	62%	102	107	121.6	88	85.0
	12	Bucks	38%	98	94	109.3	86	89.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 28	38.2	28	54%	10	7	0	1	2	1	1	9	4-5	80%	12-22	55%	0-2	0%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 29	35.7	28	82%	7	0	1	2	2	0	2	5	2-3	67%	10-13	77%	2-3	67%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 31	33.3	20	53%	7	9	2	1	2	0	3	4	4-5	80%	8-17	47%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	26.5	7	58%	3	3	2	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 33	21.7	0	0%	6	1	0	0	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	27.1	7	50%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	22.3	9	90%	1	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	16.3	5	125%	5	1	0	1	2	5	0	5	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 24	13.3	3	50%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	5.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarvis Varnado #24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Juwan Howard # 5 · F · 6'9" 250 · 40	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	60%	41	24	7	5	11	0	8	33	18-22	82%	34-64	53%	7-15	47%

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1 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 28	38.2	28	54%	10	7	0	1	2	1	1	9	4-5	80%	12-22	55%	0-2	0%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 29	35.7	28	82%	7	0	1	2	2	0	2	5	2-3	67%	10-13	77%	2-3	67%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 31	33.3	20	53%	7	9	2	1	2	0	3	4	4-5	80%	8-17	47%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	26.5	7	58%	3	3	2	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 33	21.7	0	0%	6	1	0	0	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	27.1	7	50%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	22.3	9	90%	1	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	16.3	5	125%	5	1	0	1	2	5	0	5	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 24	13.3	3	50%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	5.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarvis Varnado #24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Juwan Howard # 5 · F · 6'9" 250 · 40	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	60%	41	24	7	5	11	0	8	33	18-22	82%	34-64	53%	7-15	47%

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12 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 26	41.3	26	57%	17	0	0	0	2	2	7	10	5-5	100%	9-17	53%	1-3	33%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 23	40.6	21	58%	5	6	0	1	4	0	2	3	6-7	86%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	34.0	7	32%	3	7	2	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Larry Sanders C · 6'11" 230 · 24	28.2	6	30%	10	1	1	1	0	3	4	6	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-0	-
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	26.6	14	58%	3	3	2	0	1	4	1	2	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	25.6	14	64%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	3-7	43%
Ekpe Udoh C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	18.5	4	29%	3	0	0	1	0	3	2	1	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32	15.9	0	0%	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	8.0	2	33%	4	0	1	0	1	2	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luc Mbah a Moute #12 · F · 6'8" 230 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joel Przybilla #10 · C · 7'1" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	47%	48	18	6	4	10	0	19	29	19-21	90%	24-64	38%	9-25	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.20 60.1%

MIL

0.94 47.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

21

35

60%

MIL

18

43

42%

Midrange

MIA

13

29

45%

MIL

6

21

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

7

10.5

15

47%

70%

MIL

9

13.5

25

36%

54%

Free Throws

MIA

18

22

82%

MIL

19

21

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	28	54%	14.0 / 26
C. Bosh	28	82%	14.0 / 17
D. Wade	20	53%	10.0 / 19
S. Battier	9	90%	4.5 / 5
M. Chalmers	7	58%	3.5 / 6
R. Allen	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Andersen	5	125%	2.5 / 2
N. Cole	3	50%	1.5 / 3
U. Haslem	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Ilyasova	26	57%	13.0 / 23
B. Jennings	21	58%	10.5 / 18
M. Daniels	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Redick	14	64%	7.0 / 11
M. Ellis	7	32%	3.5 / 11
L. Sanders	6	30%	3.0 / 10
E. Udoh	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Henson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Dunleavy	0	-	0.0 / 2
I. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 112.1 23 103.6	MIA 121.6 +12.3 MIL 109.3
Pace	23 90.9 3 94.8	MIA 85.0 MIL 89.2 +4.2
Avg. Poss. Time	10 16.0 20 15.4	MIA 16.9 MIL 16.2 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 55.2% 24 47.6%	MIA 56.3% +14.2% MIL 42.1%
TO %	7 14.5% 5 14.3%	MIA 11.9% MIL 9.2% −2.7%
ORB %	27 22.2% 11 28.0%	MIA 21.6% MIL 36.5% +14.9%
FTrt	8 29.7 27 23.6	MIA 27.8 +4.2 MIL 23.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 60.0% 14 60.0%	MIA 58.5% +4.0% MIL 54.5%
STL %	4 9.5% 11 8.8%	MIA 8.0% +1.0% MIL 7.0%
BLK %	9 9.1% 4 10.1%	MIA 7.8% +1.5% MIL 6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 57.0% 28 49.7%	MIA 60.1% +13.1% MIL 47.0%
Rim FG%	1 65.9% 27 54.6%	MIA 60.0% +18.1% MIL 41.9%
Mid FG%	4 41.9% 26 36.8%	MIA 44.8% +16.2% MIL 28.6%
3P %	2 39.6% 14 36.0%	MIA 46.7% +10.7% MIL 36.0%
FT %	16 75.4% 22 73.6%	MIA 81.8% MIL 90.5% +8.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 34.8% 7 38.4%	MIA 44.3% MIL 48.3% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	10 36.7% 13 38.3%	MIA 36.7% MIL 23.6% −13.1%
3P Att. %	5 28.5% 16 23.2%	MIA 19.0% MIL 28.1% +9.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Game Totals	MIA	MIL
Possessions	88	86
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	107	94
Rebounds	41	48
Assists	24	18
Steals	7	6
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	19 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	29 (0)
Field Goals	41-79	33-89
At-the-Rim FG	21-35	18-43
Midrange FG	13-29	6-21
2-Point FG	34-64	24-64
3-Point FG	7-15	9-25
Free Throws	18-22	19-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg