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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls42%96113
11Warriors58%9995
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
40.1
29.7
13
54%
3
6
0
1
0
6
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
34.5
34.6
23
65%
6
1
2
1
0
4
2
4
4-4
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
46%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.3
32.5
31.6
21
56%
9
5
3
1
0
0
2
7
3-4
75%
9-17
7-14
53%
49%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.0
32.4
32.1
16
90%
13
3
1
1
0
0
4
9
2-2
100%
7-8
4-9
88%
49%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.8
26.8
32.3
20
62%
3
7
1
1
0
2
1
2
5-7
71%
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
3-4
75%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.5
31.1
22.9
9
54%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.0
21.2
11.4
4
41%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.5
15.6
14.6
4
67%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
5.9
11.9
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
38%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
10.6
0
1-1
44%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.3
8.9
0
0-1
43%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.1
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.1
32.0
36.9
7
35%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
4-9
60%
46%
0-4
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.0
29.8
38.2
8
27%
0
4
0
2
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
47%
0-5
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.8
24.6
19.7
12
61%
4
1
2
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
0-1
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
24.0
31.0
15
58%
8
1
2
1
1
2
2
6
1-2
50%
7-12
6-12
58%
51%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.3
17.3
27.1
1
27%
4
2
1
1
2
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
29.7
27.7
20
57%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
6-6
100%
7-15
4-8
47%
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.5
16.2
15.1
8
103%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
15.9
10.6
0
0%
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.7
15.5
8.0
7
90%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.7
12.0
2.9
14
102%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
44%
2-2
100%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.4
10.2
14.3
1
27%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.3
9.7
2.7
2
114%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
3.0
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
57%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.