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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Timberwolves26%97100
6Rockets74%105108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
38.8
32.9
14
42%
7
7
2
2
1
3
1
6
6-8
75%
4-10
3-9
40%
39%
0-3
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
31.9
27.1
12
86%
5
1
0
1
4
0
1
4
0-0
-
6-7
3-6
86%
47%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
31.1
28.6
19
60%
4
1
0
1
0
4
3
1
3-4
75%
5-9
4-10
56%
46%
2-5
40%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
30.6
22.0
10
63%
7
5
1
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
50%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
28.9
31.1
10
59%
6
3
0
1
0
3
0
6
1-1
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
1-4
25%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
26.6
25.6
19
76%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
6-7
3-8
86%
44%
2-5
40%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
21.7
23.4
6
30%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.2
19.1
24.7
8
46%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.7
11.2
13.9
2
35%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.5
9.1
0
1-3
47%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.2
7.8
0
1-3
52%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
7.0
0
1-1
52%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.6
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.6
43.3
34.0
37
77%
7
8
0
2
0
5
0
7
16-18
89%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
5-10
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
39.3
29.6
14
58%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
2-5
40%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
38.7
27.0
24
68%
1
8
4
2
0
3
0
1
5-6
83%
5-7
3-7
71%
49%
3-8
38%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
25.1
22.1
4
33%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
0-3
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.7
22.7
28.6
6
43%
11
0
0
1
1
4
5
6
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
54%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.5
28.7
19.6
9
46%
10
2
1
1
1
0
4
6
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
22.4
15.5
12
68%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
5-7
2-4
71%
59%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.7
9.3
19.4
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.0
5.8
16.6
2
41%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-1
0%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.2
4.8
12.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.0
6.6
0
0-1
47%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.2
5.9
0
1-1
47%
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.5
2.3
0
0-1
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.2
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.