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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 22, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bucks39%9378
13Pacers61%97102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.4
37.0
38.0
22
45%
3
6
0
2
0
2
0
3
2-5
40%
7-15
6-13
47%
45%
2-7
29%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.5
31.2
37.3
4
12%
2
3
1
2
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
1-8
4-8
13%
42%
0-7
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
25.6
13.9
10
36%
13
1
0
0
0
1
6
7
0-2
0%
5-13
2-4
38%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
21.5
17.5
8
31%
7
0
0
1
0
0
4
3
4-4
100%
2-10
2-4
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.3
18.6
33.0
6
30%
12
2
0
1
2
0
6
6
0-0
-
3-10
5-11
30%
48%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.7
30.6
25.6
2
9%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-9
2-4
11%
47%
0-2
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.2
22.3
7.6
6
38%
7
2
2
0
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.5
20.3
24.8
7
60%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
17.4
17.1
7
93%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-2
2-4
100%
42%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.0
8.3
5.3
2
35%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
7.2
1.6
4
100%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
37%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
3.2
0
1-1
43%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.4
1.7
0
0-0
47%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
35.2
29.9
20
57%
8
6
1
1
0
5
1
7
5-6
83%
6-11
4-7
55%
49%
1-4
25%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.5
27.0
26.4
5
51%
7
3
0
1
2
2
2
5
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.9
26.8
29.5
6
34%
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
0-3
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.4
26.5
21.6
22
64%
12
0
0
1
0
0
3
9
6-7
86%
8-14
3-7
57%
45%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.3
26.1
27.4
11
57%
8
3
0
1
7
1
2
6
3-6
50%
4-7
5-11
57%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.9
21.5
15.4
10
50%
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-10
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.4
17.5
15.7
10
60%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.4
16.8
15.0
10
129%
0
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
2-2
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.2
15.6
13.5
2
20%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.0
13.8
17.4
2
33%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
4.4
6.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.2
4.4
4.1
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.6
4.4
4.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.9
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.