Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 22, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Knicks | 48% | 96 | 99 |
 | 15 | Raptors | 52% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Thunder | 81% | 106 | 97 |
 | 27 | Magic | 19% | 94 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bucks | 39% | 93 | 78 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Pistons | 10% | 90 | 89 |
 | 1 | Heat | 90% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Hornets | 37% | 91 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Celtics | 39% | 95 | 94 |
 | 9 | Mavericks | 61% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Timberwolves | 49% | 95 | 117 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Lakers | 64% | 100 | 100 |
Thursday, March 21, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 97 | 99 |
 | 13 | Bulls | 61% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 43% | 101 | 98 |
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Wednesday, March 20, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 68% | 102 | 101 |
 | 30 | Bobcats | 32% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 79% | 105 | 98 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 21% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 20% | 93 | 94 |
| 8 | Knicks | 80% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 40% | 97 | 90 |
| 18 | Hawks | 60% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 49% | 95 | 89 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 51% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 49% | 95 | 86 |
| 23 | Hornets | 51% | 96 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 29% | 101 | 93 |
| 6 | Rockets | 71% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Nets | 39% | 98 | 113 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 61% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Spurs | 71% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 59% | 96 | 88 |
| 28 | Suns | 41% | 93 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 19% | 92 | 72 |
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Tuesday, March 19, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 28% | 91 | 73 |
| 11 | Pacers | 72% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 101 | 95 |
| 16 | Bucks | 63% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 31% | 99 | 114 |
| 3 | Thunder | 69% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 70% | 109 | 101 |
| 23 | Kings | 30% | 102 | 116 |
Monday, March 18, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 99 | 100 |
| 25 | 76ers | 46% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 67% | 99 | 114 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 33% | 93 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 67% | 98 | 111 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 33% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 47% | 98 | 127 |
| 18 | Hawks | 53% | 99 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 56% | 99 | 119 |
| 28 | Pistons | 44% | 97 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 65% | 97 | 105 |
| 22 | Celtics | 35% | 92 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 56% | 99 | 119 |
| 16 | Bulls | 44% | 97 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 21% | 86 | 77 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 79% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 47% | 100 | 93 |
| 19 | Hornets | 53% | 101 | 72 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 62% | 102 | 76 |
| 29 | Suns | 38% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Knicks | 43% | 95 | 90 |
| 20 | Jazz | 57% | 97 | 83 |
Sunday, March 17, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 65% | 99 | 108 |
| 14 | Raptors | 35% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 29% | 98 | 109 |
| 12 | Bucks | 71% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 24% | 93 | 80 |
| 2 | Clippers | 76% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 30% | 102 | 108 |
| 6 | Rockets | 70% | 109 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 48% | 96 | 95 | |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 52% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 58% | 102 | 107 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 42% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 40% | 94 | 105 |
| 13 | Nets | 60% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 29% | 101 | 102 |
| 8 | Lakers | 71% | 109 | 113 |
Saturday, March 16, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 30% | 89 | 105 |
| 22 | Wizards | 70% | 96 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 21% | 90 | 88 |
| 19 | Celtics | 79% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 62% | 93 | 91 |
| 25 | 76ers | 38% | 89 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 13% | 92 | 113 |
| 4 | Spurs | 87% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 54% | 95 | 84 |
| 21 | Jazz | 46% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 31% | 98 | 101 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 105 | 112 |
Friday, March 15, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 22% | 93 | 78 |
| 15 | Raptors | 78% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 42% | 93 | 87 | |
| 19 | Wizards | 58% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 42% | 95 | 99 |
| 8 | Pacers | 58% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 31% | 92 | 94 |
| 21 | Hawks | 69% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 26% | 97 | 100 |
| 6 | Rockets | 74% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 14% | 92 | 104 |
| 3 | Thunder | 86% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 62% | 102 | 107 |
| 12 | Bucks | 38% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 29% | 98 | 86 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 71% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 40% | 95 | 80 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 60% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 42% | 96 | 113 |
| 11 | Warriors | 58% | 99 | 95 |
Thursday, March 14, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 31% | 97 | 91 |
| 4 | Spurs | 69% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 43% | 98 | 90 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 100 | 105 |
Wednesday, March 13, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 71% | 98 | 98 |
| 25 | 76ers | 29% | 91 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 48% | 95 | 93 |
| 20 | Wizards | 52% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 21% | 86 | 91 |
| 7 | Pacers | 79% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 53% | 93 | 88 |
| 22 | Celtics | 47% | 92 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 51% | 101 | 92 |
| 18 | Hawks | 49% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 18% | 96 | 81 |
| 6 | Rockets | 82% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 21% | 94 | 87 |
| 1 | Thunder | 79% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 58% | 101 | 79 |
| 23 | Kings | 42% | 98 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 37% | 99 | 94 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 63% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 28% | 92 | 96 |
| 3 | Clippers | 72% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 30% | 97 | 97 |
| 16 | Warriors | 70% | 104 | 105 |
Tuesday, March 12, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 73% | 99 | 74 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 27% | 91 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 68% | 105 | 106 |
| 27 | Magic | 32% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 55% | 96 | 90 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 45% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 45% | 95 | 98 | |
| 18 | Nets | 55% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 24% | 92 | 81 |
| 1 | Heat | 76% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 45% | 101 | 115 |
| 13 | Bucks | 55% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 65% | 99 | 83 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 35% | 94 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 53% | 97 | 102 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 96 | 97 |
Monday, March 11, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 63% | 96 | 97 |
| 25 | 76ers | 37% | 91 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 43% | 98 | 93 |
| 4 | Spurs | 57% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 34% | 96 | 90 |
| 23 | Jazz | 66% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 72% | 105 | 108 |
| 29 | Suns | 28% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 53% | 101 | 63 |
| 18 | Warriors | 47% | 100 | 92 |
Sunday, March 10, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 23% | 91 | 79 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 38% | 96 | 81 |
| 9 | Lakers | 62% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 32% | 96 | 96 |
| 12 | Raptors | 68% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 49% | 96 | 91 |
| 28 | Magic | 51% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 31% | 90 | 91 |
| 2 | Heat | 69% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 100 | 96 |
| 17 | Hornets | 56% | 102 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 61% | 100 | 100 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 39% | 96 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 45% | 105 | 115 |
| 22 | Kings | 55% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 14% | 93 | 97 |
| 3 | Clippers | 86% | 107 | 129 |
Saturday, March 9, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 38% | 94 | 93 |
| 12 | Hawks | 62% | 98 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 24% | 92 | 84 |
| 7 | Knicks | 76% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 23% | 89 | 87 |
| 21 | Wizards | 77% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 39% | 92 | 85 | |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 61% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 23% | 95 | 88 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 77% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 70% | 106 | 105 |
| 29 | Suns | 30% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 103 |
| 16 | Warriors | 56% | 103 | 93 |