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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
March 22, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Cavaliers22%9978
7Rockets78%110116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.5
30.0
30.5
14
57%
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
2
4-5
80%
5-10
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
29.3
29.2
11
51%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.0
25.1
31.8
8
52%
8
1
1
1
0
1
1
7
2-4
50%
3-6
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.3
21.4
27.9
13
50%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
44%
1-4
25%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.2
20.1
22.9
2
33%
5
1
1
0
1
3
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.1
22.8
17.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
37%
0-6
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.0
21.8
18.6
7
70%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.5
18.0
5.9
4
40%
0
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
16.9
13.3
6
38%
6
2
1
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.0
15.5
22.4
9
51%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.6
12.0
3.9
4
29%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
0-1
29%
47%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.7
7.0
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.3
15.4
1
3-6
45%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.0
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.6
30.7
36.6
20
77%
1
2
2
2
0
4
0
1
7-9
78%
2-4
4-8
50%
53%
3-5
60%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
28.2
34.7
13
53%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-3
67%
4-7
4-7
57%
55%
1-4
25%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.7
22.5
30.4
13
70%
11
1
0
1
1
2
3
8
1-3
33%
6-8
4-7
75%
56%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
20.6
23.5
10
65%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-6
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
57%
1-3
33%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
20.2
30.5
4
27%
1
6
0
2
0
3
1
0
0-1
0%
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
25.5
15.2
4
67%
13
0
0
0
0
2
3
10
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
61%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.0
22.3
13.2
15
90%
6
1
3
0
2
5
2
4
3-3
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
49%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.7
20.8
15.8
11
70%
4
5
1
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.6
19.8
23.2
8
57%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
2-6
33%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.0
12.0
3.2
11
92%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-4
0-0
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.2
10.3
6.6
7
70%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.2
7.0
4.4
0
0%
0
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-2
0%
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
2.1
0
0-0
53%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.2
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.