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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 22, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Celtics39%9594
9Mavericks61%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.4
34.6
30.8
16
71%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
4-5
80%
3-6
4-8
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
34.3
28.8
16
64%
11
3
1
1
1
1
7
4
8-8
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
31.1
30.5
9
38%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.8
28.8
19.5
16
63%
12
5
1
1
1
2
2
10
6-6
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.5
27.4
33.9
5
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
30.0
29.8
10
45%
3
4
0
1
1
5
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.5
21.9
21.4
8
40%
1
0
1
1
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-3
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.4
15.8
19.5
9
38%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
15.6
12.4
5
91%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
0.5
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 29.3
5.0
0
1-1
46%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
3.2
0
1-1
49%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.0
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
39.3
32.6
10
63%
4
9
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.8
32.1
31.9
22
64%
7
1
0
1
1
2
1
6
5-5
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
49%
1-2
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
31.4
13.8
11
57%
13
3
0
0
0
1
5
8
4-6
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
30.1
19.8
23
68%
8
0
1
1
1
0
5
3
1-2
50%
11-16
4-6
69%
59%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.7
24.6
25.3
7
44%
2
6
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
40%
1-5
20%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
29.3
22.9
8
59%
5
3
2
1
0
3
0
5
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.2
27.1
24.6
19
45%
5
3
1
1
0
2
2
3
6-9
67%
5-10
2-5
50%
46%
1-7
14%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.9
16.6
15.1
4
33%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
8.3
24.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
1.3
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
19.6
1
3-6
49%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
7.7
0
1-2
45%
Chris Wright
G · 6'1" 210 · 23.4
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.