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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 29, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Wizards51%9692
27Magic49%9597
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
39.0
14.9
19
48%
6
3
0
0
1
1
1
5
4-4
100%
6-11
1-2
55%
49%
1-7
14%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
37.8
34.6
35
51%
9
2
2
1
0
4
5
4
12-14
86%
10-26
6-14
38%
47%
1-2
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.9
35.0
34.1
7
35%
4
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
1-6
17%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
30.1
23.5
9
67%
13
1
0
1
1
2
4
9
3-4
75%
3-5
4-8
60%
53%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
25.2
24.0
7
44%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
54%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
24.9
11.3
5
42%
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.3
17.9
24.2
4
40%
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
5-9
40%
49%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.5
17.5
8.8
4
53%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.4
5.8
27.9
2
114%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
0-0
3-6
-
43%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
4.3
20.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.9
2.5
11.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.5
13.8
0
3-5
54%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.3
4.5
0
0-0
43%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.8
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
45.1
38.2
30
62%
11
0
3
1
3
1
2
9
6-7
86%
9-18
6-11
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
41.6
38.5
18
46%
9
0
0
2
1
1
6
3
5-6
83%
5-12
5-9
42%
51%
1-5
20%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
22.0
29.0
4
50%
4
4
0
1
2
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.8
20.6
17.9
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.1
8.3
37.9
2
33%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
4-9
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
30.9
23.4
10
47%
4
9
1
1
0
1
1
3
5-6
83%
1-6
3-6
17%
50%
1-2
50%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.1
30.7
19.7
15
56%
4
5
2
1
1
1
0
4
0-1
0%
6-10
2-4
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
27.8
7.0
14
54%
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-12
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
13.1
5.9
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
42%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
12.0
0
2-4
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
11.4
0
2-4
51%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.0
4.9
0
0-1
45%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.1
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.