Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 29, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Magic | 49% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Celtics | 51% | 94 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 16% | 93 | 102 |
 | 5 | Knicks | 84% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Raptors | 52% | 99 | 99 |
 | 26 | Pistons | 48% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Heat | 68% | 102 | 108 |
| 17 | Hornets | 32% | 96 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Thunder | 66% | 101 | 93 |
 | 18 | Timberwolves | 34% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Nets | 34% | 95 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, March 28, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Lakers | 51% | 105 | 103 |
 | 14 | Bucks | 49% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Mavericks | 59% | 98 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, March 27, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 47% | 96 | 107 |
| 19 | Raptors | 53% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 55% | 99 | 92 |
| 26 | 76ers | 45% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 56% | 101 | 108 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 44% | 99 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Celtics | 53% | 97 | 93 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 47% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 44% | 93 | 101 |
| 7 | Knicks | 56% | 95 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 62% | 97 | 97 |
 | 13 | Bulls | 38% | 93 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 62% | 100 | 105 |
| 21 | Hornets | 38% | 96 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 37% | 96 | 100 |
| 6 | Rockets | 63% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 19% | 90 | 80 |
| 3 | Thunder | 81% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 57% | 102 | 120 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 43% | 99 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 29% | 98 | 99 |
| 1 | Spurs | 71% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 31% | 95 | 88 |
| 20 | Jazz | 69% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 33% | 102 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 47% | 99 | 111 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 101 | 93 |
Tuesday, March 26, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 54% | 95 | 100 |
| 18 | Celtics | 46% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 55% | 99 | 105 |
| 27 | Pistons | 45% | 97 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 56% | 103 | 102 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 44% | 101 | 109 |
Monday, March 25, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 59% | 92 | 94 |
| 24 | Wizards | 41% | 89 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 69% | 101 | 108 |
| 26 | Magic | 31% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 35% | 90 | 94 |
| 11 | Pacers | 65% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 61% | 101 | 86 |
| 21 | Hornets | 39% | 97 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 36% | 94 | 91 |
| 20 | Jazz | 64% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 48% | 103 | 103 |
| 12 | Warriors | 52% | 104 | 109 |
Sunday, March 24, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 46% | 99 | 104 |
| 16 | Bucks | 54% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 9% | 90 | 77 |
| 3 | Heat | 91% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 60% | 105 | 95 |
| 6 | Rockets | 40% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 22% | 97 | 83 |
| 2 | Thunder | 78% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 42% | 92 | 104 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 58% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 34% | 99 | 108 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 66% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 62% | 98 | 102 |
| 29 | Suns | 38% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 42% | 99 | 117 |
| 23 | Kings | 58% | 102 | 103 |
Saturday, March 23, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 48% | 101 | 92 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 52% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 32% | 94 | 84 |
| 8 | Knicks | 68% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 43% | 90 | 84 |
| 19 | Bulls | 57% | 92 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 31% | 86 | 106 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 69% | 93 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 23% | 101 | 95 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 77% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 29% | 94 | 95 |
| 4 | Clippers | 71% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 32% | 94 | 92 |
| 11 | Warriors | 68% | 100 | 101 |
Friday, March 22, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 48% | 97 | 99 |
| 15 | Raptors | 52% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 80% | 106 | 97 |
| 27 | Magic | 20% | 94 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 39% | 93 | 78 |
| 13 | Pacers | 61% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 98 | 104 |
| 11 | Hawks | 65% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 10% | 90 | 89 |
| 1 | Heat | 90% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 63% | 95 | 83 |
| 23 | Hornets | 37% | 91 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 22% | 99 | 78 |
| 7 | Rockets | 78% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 39% | 95 | 94 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 61% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 19% | 94 | 97 |
| 2 | Spurs | 81% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 49% | 95 | 117 |
| 28 | Suns | 51% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 36% | 95 | 103 |
| 10 | Lakers | 64% | 100 | 100 |
Thursday, March 21, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 97 | 99 |
| 13 | Bulls | 62% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 15% | 92 | 100 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 85% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 43% | 101 | 98 |
| 22 | Kings | 57% | 103 | 101 |
Wednesday, March 20, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 68% | 102 | 101 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 32% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 79% | 105 | 98 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 21% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 20% | 93 | 94 |
| 8 | Knicks | 80% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 40% | 97 | 90 |
| 18 | Hawks | 60% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 49% | 95 | 89 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 51% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 49% | 95 | 86 |
| 23 | Hornets | 51% | 96 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 29% | 101 | 93 |
| 6 | Rockets | 71% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 39% | 98 | 113 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 61% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 29% | 95 | 93 |
| 5 | Spurs | 71% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 59% | 96 | 88 |
| 28 | Suns | 41% | 92 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 18% | 93 | 72 |
| 3 | Clippers | 82% | 105 | 101 |
Tuesday, March 19, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 28% | 91 | 73 |
| 11 | Pacers | 72% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 101 | 95 |
| 16 | Bucks | 63% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 30% | 99 | 114 |
| 3 | Thunder | 70% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 70% | 109 | 101 |
| 23 | Kings | 30% | 102 | 116 |
Monday, March 18, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 99 | 100 |
| 25 | 76ers | 46% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 67% | 99 | 114 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 33% | 93 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 67% | 98 | 111 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 33% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 48% | 98 | 127 |
| 18 | Hawks | 52% | 99 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 55% | 99 | 119 |
| 28 | Pistons | 45% | 97 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 65% | 97 | 105 |
| 22 | Celtics | 35% | 92 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 56% | 99 | 119 |
| 16 | Bulls | 44% | 97 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 21% | 87 | 77 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 79% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 47% | 100 | 93 |
| 19 | Hornets | 53% | 101 | 72 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 62% | 102 | 76 |
| 29 | Suns | 38% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Knicks | 43% | 95 | 90 |
| 20 | Jazz | 57% | 97 | 83 |
Sunday, March 17, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 65% | 99 | 108 |
| 14 | Raptors | 35% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 29% | 98 | 109 |
| 12 | Bucks | 71% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 24% | 93 | 80 |
| 2 | Clippers | 76% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 30% | 102 | 108 |
| 6 | Rockets | 70% | 109 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 48% | 96 | 95 | |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 52% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 58% | 102 | 107 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 42% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 40% | 94 | 105 |
| 13 | Nets | 60% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 28% | 101 | 102 |
| 8 | Lakers | 72% | 109 | 113 |
Saturday, March 16, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 29% | 89 | 105 |
| 22 | Wizards | 71% | 96 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 21% | 90 | 88 |
| 19 | Celtics | 79% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 62% | 93 | 91 |
| 25 | 76ers | 38% | 89 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 13% | 92 | 113 |
| 4 | Spurs | 87% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 54% | 95 | 84 |
| 21 | Jazz | 46% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 31% | 98 | 101 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 105 | 112 |