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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 29, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Jazz51%102105
23Trail Blazers49%10195
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.0
40.0
35.7
10
63%
3
8
3
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
4-8
100%
47%
2-6
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.2
37.2
31.7
22
52%
8
2
4
1
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
11-21
8-15
52%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.1
31.9
24.6
25
75%
10
2
0
1
0
3
5
5
5-6
83%
10-14
5-9
71%
51%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.3
29.4
28.6
28
65%
5
5
1
1
0
2
2
3
6-6
100%
8-14
3-7
57%
46%
2-5
40%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.5
29.1
25.1
5
40%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.7
26.7
22.4
13
70%
10
2
0
1
0
1
2
8
1-3
33%
6-8
3-7
75%
50%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.1
16.3
5.6
0
0%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-2
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.7
14.6
18.3
2
17%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.8
12.2
21.7
0
0%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.4
2.6
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.8
7.0
0
0-1
43%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
5.0
0
1-1
51%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 23.1
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.9
Jerel McNeal
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.3
40.3
32.9
17
94%
2
4
0
1
1
4
0
2
6-7
86%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
3-4
75%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.7
39.5
34.6
24
54%
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
10-14
71%
7-15
4-9
47%
49%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.5
37.7
31.0
12
51%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
48%
2-4
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.6
36.1
24.6
17
67%
14
2
0
1
0
2
2
12
1-4
25%
8-11
4-8
73%
54%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.1
32.4
22.9
12
51%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
5-11
3-5
45%
56%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
21.3
21.9
7
70%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.6
18.1
6.9
6
47%
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
3
0-1
0%
3-3
0-1
100%
50%
0-3
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.1
13.7
7.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
1.0
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
8.0
0
1-2
47%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
5.9
0
1-2
45%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.4
4.5
0
0-1
44%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.3
3.3
0
0-1
42%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.