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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 29, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat68%102108
17Hornets32%9689
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.2
32.8
35.5
17
67%
0
9
4
2
1
6
0
0
3-4
75%
7-10
8-14
70%
53%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.2
32.2
36.5
36
81%
4
6
2
2
0
3
0
4
3-5
60%
6-10
7-13
60%
58%
7-10
70%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
22.4
15.1
4
41%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
22.2
9.5
6
51%
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.0
21.6
31.0
10
63%
4
2
0
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
5-10
71%
53%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
28.1
27.5
9
90%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
3-5
60%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
26.9
16.4
12
100%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
2-3
67%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.7
23.1
23.4
6
60%
2
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
17.0
14.2
5
73%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
57%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
3.4
6.7
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.1
3.4
3.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
3.4
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.5
3.4
2.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.9
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.3
41.3
26.9
13
46%
1
6
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-11
3-7
45%
44%
1-3
33%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
33.8
24.3
7
51%
16
2
1
1
0
3
5
11
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
29.9
24.5
17
55%
2
2
2
1
0
5
0
2
10-10
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
1-6
17%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.0
28.5
31.2
11
51%
5
0
4
1
2
2
3
2
1-2
50%
5-10
6-12
50%
52%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.0
18.4
25.5
6
61%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
31.1
24.8
20
63%
3
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
20.2
20.9
7
88%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
1-1
100%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.5
12.6
15.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
11.5
9.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
10.4
2.8
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
49%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
2.4
6.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.2
23.8
1
3-7
46%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
5.7
0
1-1
43%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.