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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 29, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Raptors52%9999
26Pistons48%9882
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
39.0
29.2
14
64%
13
2
0
0
4
4
4
9
0-0
-
7-11
4-7
64%
55%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
37.6
22.0
20
84%
8
2
0
1
2
0
2
6
2-2
100%
9-11
3-6
82%
57%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
32.9
34.8
21
51%
4
3
3
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
10-20
5-12
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.0
29.5
31.7
4
50%
2
11
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
26.2
27.0
21
63%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-6
67%
4-10
5-10
40%
47%
3-4
75%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
21.8
27.6
7
44%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
44%
1-6
17%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
19.6
17.4
6
43%
6
0
1
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
52%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.4
18.5
14.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.1
15.1
22.8
6
60%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.3
5.7
0
1-1
52%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.2
4.5
0
0-1
47%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.8
4.0
0
0-1
43%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
3.4
0
0-0
48%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.9
33.4
28.7
13
47%
6
2
2
1
0
1
1
5
2-4
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
30.9
29.9
8
57%
1
7
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
2-4
50%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.8
30.1
30.2
11
40%
13
5
0
1
2
3
6
7
5-6
83%
3-11
6-11
27%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.3
25.9
22.9
4
38%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-3
67%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.6
18.7
13.0
17
72%
4
0
2
1
2
2
1
3
1-4
25%
8-10
2-4
80%
57%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.1
28.5
19.1
20
67%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
9-10
2-5
90%
50%
0-4
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.9
25.0
27.0
0
0%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
20.6
10.3
6
43%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
12.8
23.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.6
7.8
17.8
2
20%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.6
6.4
8.1
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.6
14.4
0
1-3
48%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.4
3.8
0
0-1
46%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.