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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 29, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets43%9894
10Grizzlies57%100103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.6
26.7
37.6
7
39%
1
4
2
2
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
25.8
36.8
16
74%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
4-8
50%
52%
3-5
60%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
23.2
22.7
8
40%
1
3
2
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.7
22.4
27.0
6
60%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
21.9
16.4
16
73%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-3
63%
51%
2-3
67%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.6
28.5
19.7
15
57%
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
2-7
29%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
25.3
23.9
2
53%
9
0
2
0
0
0
5
4
0-2
0%
1-1
3-6
100%
55%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.7
24.8
23.4
9
51%
5
3
1
1
2
3
3
2
4-4
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-4
25%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.0
21.3
3.9
10
51%
2
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
0-1
67%
45%
0-3
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.0
20.1
17.9
5
23%
6
1
0
1
0
1
4
2
1-2
50%
2-10
2-5
20%
45%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.2
4.5
0
0-1
42%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.2
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
2.1
0
0-0
46%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.2
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.1
39.5
33.8
10
51%
8
2
0
1
0
1
0
8
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.2
38.9
26.2
21
74%
5
4
0
1
1
2
0
5
5-5
100%
8-12
4-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
36.6
37.1
15
59%
3
10
4
2
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
2-3
67%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.7
33.7
27.8
21
64%
12
3
0
1
0
2
6
6
9-10
90%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.2
27.1
24.1
16
67%
4
0
2
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
8-12
4-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
25.3
28.6
14
64%
2
4
1
1
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
47%
2-6
33%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
15.8
22.5
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
14.3
12.0
4
50%
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
8.8
13.8
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
8.8
0
1-2
44%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.0
3.2
0
0-1
48%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.9
3.1
0
0-1
51%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.1
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.