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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 29, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder66%10193
18Timberwolves34%96101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.5
40.9
34.2
36
78%
7
3
1
1
2
4
0
7
9-9
100%
12-16
6-12
75%
53%
1-3
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
35.9
28.0
10
43%
11
0
0
0
5
1
3
8
2-4
50%
4-9
4-7
44%
56%
0-1
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
32.1
29.4
18
47%
4
9
0
1
0
2
1
3
3-5
60%
6-15
6-13
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.9
27.5
21.3
10
100%
3
0
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
2-2
100%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.4
25.9
23.3
2
33%
5
0
0
0
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.2
20.5
23.6
4
20%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-4
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.0
19.4
19.0
8
40%
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
18.7
22.2
0
0%
5
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
59%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.6
13.4
13.4
3
38%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
1-2
50%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.1
5.7
11.8
2
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.8
5.3
0
0-1
45%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.5
4.9
0
1-2
49%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.0
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.6
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.2
36.2
30.5
22
65%
15
1
0
1
0
1
7
8
2-2
100%
10-16
6-11
63%
52%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
31.8
23.9
12
51%
4
3
2
1
1
1
3
1
1-2
50%
4-8
3-5
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
30.2
28.1
17
59%
2
7
4
2
0
2
0
2
8-8
100%
3-10
3-8
30%
40%
1-1
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
28.4
26.4
11
55%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
5-7
71%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
26.2
25.3
6
34%
9
2
0
1
0
0
1
8
1-2
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
46%
1-2
50%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.9
23.3
20.8
13
67%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
2-3
67%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.8
22.8
21.1
6
33%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
18.9
22.4
8
44%
7
1
2
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
11.8
14.4
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.3
10.4
16.7
4
52%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.6
9.0
0
1-3
46%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
5.9
0
0-1
51%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.7
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.