for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 29, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks49%93107
22Celtics51%94118
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.3
31.3
31.7
18
36%
6
4
0
1
1
4
1
5
3-4
75%
6-18
5-11
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.8
26.1
32.3
17
58%
2
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
7-13
4-9
54%
49%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32.0
23.7
16.0
3
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
41%
1-3
33%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 29.0
21.5
20.0
5
51%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.2
12.3
10.9
4
67%
7
0
0
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
28.2
19.1
14
89%
7
2
0
0
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
4-7
57%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.9
27.3
10.5
12
61%
3
9
1
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-7
1-2
57%
42%
1-2
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.0
26.5
25.6
7
58%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.7
23.3
5.4
19
70%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
7-8
88%
6-10
1-2
60%
46%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.3
16.4
8.8
6
43%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
1-1
43%
43%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.1
3.4
12.8
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
35.6
1
8-15
54%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.1
12.8
0
1-2
49%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.5
38.4
32.9
20
52%
10
10
1
1
1
1
0
10
2-3
67%
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
2-8
25%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
37.7
36.4
27
63%
4
4
2
1
1
1
1
3
2-3
67%
8-15
5-10
53%
50%
3-5
60%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
30.1
30.8
13
78%
2
1
0
1
3
2
1
1
3-3
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
26.1
31.8
8
51%
0
4
4
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
12.9
15.0
4
100%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.5
31.1
21.4
24
95%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
5-7
71%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 29.3
21.9
7.2
9
65%
13
1
0
0
2
0
7
6
1-2
50%
4-6
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.4
20.7
26.7
5
31%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
46%
1-2
50%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
15.2
14.3
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.5
6.0
12.4
2
114%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.9
10.5
0
2-4
50%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
3.2
0
0-1
49%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.1
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.