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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Heat73%10389
30Bobcats27%9479
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.0
37.3
33.0
18
54%
8
6
1
1
1
3
1
7
5-6
83%
5-11
6-11
45%
55%
1-3
33%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
32.2
19.5
14
54%
5
2
1
1
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
30.4
24.8
26
82%
5
4
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
7-11
64%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.9
27.1
28.8
6
52%
1
7
3
2
0
3
1
0
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
18.1
19.7
2
50%
7
0
0
0
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
27.6
26.8
4
40%
4
0
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-3
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.5
21.1
7.5
3
23%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
0-0
0-0
-
41%
1-6
17%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
20.9
32.5
8
67%
1
5
1
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
2-2
100%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
18.6
13.6
8
68%
8
1
0
0
1
0
3
5
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
59%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
6.7
3.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.7
25.1
1
2-4
52%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.3
17.1
1
4-6
59%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.2
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.2
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.9
40.8
35.9
12
34%
3
4
3
2
0
2
1
2
6-6
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
45%
0-6
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.5
37.8
18.7
18
48%
14
1
1
0
1
1
4
10
4-4
100%
7-17
3-6
41%
46%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.1
37.4
35.3
8
33%
11
3
1
1
2
1
7
4
0-0
-
4-12
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
36.9
35.3
11
28%
3
3
2
1
0
4
1
2
7-8
88%
2-13
6-12
15%
47%
0-3
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.6
25.3
32.5
4
29%
8
0
0
0
1
1
4
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.6
21.1
9.5
8
58%
3
1
2
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
16.7
12.4
6
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
41%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.5
10.9
14.0
9
65%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
1-3
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.0
7.6
20.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.9
5.5
12.2
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.1
7.7
0
1-2
44%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.1
6.6
0
1-2
44%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.2
4.2
0
0-1
40%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.0
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.