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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bucks32%9883
5Knicks68%105101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.5
37.2
31.2
25
56%
4
3
1
1
0
2
2
2
3-5
60%
5-10
3-7
50%
43%
4-10
40%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
34.5
32.7
7
35%
7
1
0
1
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
1-6
5-11
17%
49%
1-3
33%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.4
31.9
36.8
11
37%
0
6
0
2
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
3-6
5-12
50%
47%
1-7
14%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.4
30.9
30.6
9
54%
12
1
1
1
1
1
4
8
3-3
100%
3-7
5-11
43%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
17.5
19.0
2
20%
5
0
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.8
31.3
23.8
18
77%
4
4
0
0
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
5-7
71%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.6
19.8
25.1
5
42%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
18.5
13.6
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
15.7
13.5
4
67%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.3
1.5
4.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
1.5
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
7.6
0
1-3
51%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
3.4
0
1-1
45%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.5
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.9
37.1
35.4
41
69%
14
1
0
1
1
5
5
9
4-4
100%
14-21
8-17
67%
49%
3-7
43%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.5
36.9
18.5
6
43%
10
3
1
0
0
0
4
6
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
64%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.8
36.0
33.1
9
50%
3
4
2
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.8
18.8
23.1
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.9
17.2
16.6
2
25%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-3
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
33.7
30.8
30
63%
10
3
2
1
0
0
1
9
3-4
75%
6-11
5-10
55%
47%
5-11
45%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 40.0
23.6
25.1
5
63%
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.1
20.6
9.1
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
2-4
50%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.8
14.7
16.2
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-3
0%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.5
1.5
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 35.3
24.0
1
3-5
52%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 39.0
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.5
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.