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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Magic25%9086
12Bulls75%9987
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
44.5
38.0
12
34%
11
3
1
1
2
2
2
9
2-2
100%
5-16
5-11
31%
48%
0-1
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
40.2
29.7
16
57%
15
3
2
1
2
4
4
11
0-0
-
8-14
5-11
57%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.8
36.1
33.4
27
72%
5
7
2
1
0
4
1
4
4-4
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
48%
3-5
60%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
25.2
12.4
6
61%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
8.4
38.7
0
0%
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
5-10
0%
50%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.8
36.1
19.8
10
39%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-8
2-5
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
28.0
12.1
3
24%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-3
33%
1-5
1-3
20%
40%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.1
13.7
22.9
4
29%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
7.8
16.3
8
80%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
49%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.2
11.9
0
1-3
45%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
8.4
0
1-3
49%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.0
4.9
0
0-1
45%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.1
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.6
42.6
38.9
12
43%
3
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
51%
0-2
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
41.4
39.6
19
45%
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
7-7
100%
3-13
6-12
23%
49%
2-5
40%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.4
39.0
35.5
12
38%
9
4
2
1
0
6
1
8
0-0
-
6-16
8-16
38%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.3
34.4
30.2
13
69%
3
4
2
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
2-5
40%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.6
31.4
28.9
5
32%
11
1
0
1
3
0
4
7
3-4
75%
1-6
3-7
17%
49%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.8
28.1
26.1
19
56%
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
4-7
50%
49%
3-7
43%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
23.1
6.6
7
117%
4
2
2
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
28.8
1
4-8
52%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
12.7
0
1-3
46%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
12.3
0
1-2
40%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.1
2.2
0
0-0
49%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.1
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.