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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Raptors42%9595
17Timberwolves58%9893
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
35.8
35.0
25
53%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
12-22
6-14
55%
46%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
35.4
28.5
26
55%
5
3
2
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
11-20
5-10
55%
47%
1-3
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
32.6
35.4
12
71%
4
0
0
1
3
1
2
2
8-10
80%
2-4
5-9
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.0
32.6
31.6
11
50%
2
7
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
1-4
25%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
21.9
30.9
3
39%
8
1
0
1
2
2
1
7
1-2
50%
1-3
5-8
33%
56%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
18.5
20.0
2
25%
7
1
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.2
16.5
12.7
7
70%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.8
15.4
11.9
3
38%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.3
15.3
3.7
4
52%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-2
0%
2-3
0-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
8.6
16.3
2
20%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
7.4
11.4
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.4
6.4
0
1-1
43%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
3.5
0
0-0
46%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.3
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.3
41.0
31.3
24
63%
8
0
1
1
0
1
2
6
12-16
75%
6-12
6-11
50%
55%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.5
36.7
31.9
13
48%
5
12
1
2
0
4
0
5
6-8
75%
2-7
4-8
29%
42%
1-3
33%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
34.8
28.1
20
79%
6
1
3
1
1
1
0
6
3-6
50%
7-7
3-6
100%
54%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
23.3
28.0
8
58%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
20.2
23.5
8
60%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
6-6
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.0
27.8
23.6
8
50%
6
2
4
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
4-8
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.9
26.8
16.7
8
58%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
1-3
33%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.8
14.6
19.9
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.3
7.9
15.2
4
33%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
7.0
14.1
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.6
8.9
0
1-3
49%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
3.6
0
0-1
54%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.7
2.4
0
0-1
55%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.7
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.