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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hornets40%9883
18Jazz60%10195
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.2
36.9
29.9
21
73%
5
9
0
1
0
5
0
5
2-3
67%
8-11
4-9
73%
47%
1-2
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.0
35.3
25.9
12
61%
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
52%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
33.3
27.2
8
36%
3
1
4
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.1
30.9
30.7
24
66%
12
0
0
1
3
0
4
8
4-5
80%
10-16
6-11
63%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
17.7
29.2
7
90%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
4-9
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
23.1
24.1
4
17%
6
0
0
1
1
3
3
3
4-4
100%
0-6
3-6
0%
49%
0-4
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
17.5
3.6
3
22%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
0-5
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.3
16.1
24.2
2
17%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
12.7
9.9
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
12.4
17.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-2
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.6
4.2
7.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.7
8.2
0
0-1
43%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.1
38.7
31.3
20
66%
10
7
1
1
1
3
6
4
3-5
60%
7-12
6-11
58%
53%
1-1
100%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.0
31.4
31.4
23
61%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
4-8
3-7
50%
49%
5-10
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.2
30.7
32.4
14
64%
5
1
3
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
7-11
8-15
64%
52%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.3
29.3
29.1
8
45%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.5
26.1
25.8
8
44%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
2-7
29%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.7
26.6
25.6
10
63%
10
0
1
1
6
2
1
9
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
52%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
25.7
5.9
6
51%
3
3
3
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.1
18.7
11.3
3
50%
1
7
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-3
33%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.7
12.7
17.0
3
75%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.8
18.0
0
2-3
49%
Jerel McNeal
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.8
5.8
0
1-1
48%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.8
5.1
0
0-1
44%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.4
4.3
0
1-1
59%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.9
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.