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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks48%106117
22Kings52%107108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
34.8
29.0
13
66%
4
6
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
33.1
27.3
25
67%
12
2
0
1
1
2
2
10
4-4
100%
9-16
4-8
56%
52%
1-1
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.8
28.6
32.5
16
52%
6
2
1
1
0
0
0
6
3-3
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.9
22.3
17.5
6
43%
9
1
0
0
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.8
18.3
23.1
8
103%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
41%
2-3
67%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
29.7
26.8
18
77%
1
8
1
1
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
7-8
3-6
88%
50%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
25.7
21.9
20
67%
6
0
1
1
2
0
4
2
2-2
100%
9-14
5-8
64%
60%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.2
25.6
25.8
7
32%
3
8
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
1-6
17%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
13.8
14.2
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
8.2
8.0
4
69%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.1
10.3
0
2-3
50%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
2.1
0
0-0
52%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.1
41.6
19.6
10
46%
7
2
0
0
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
2-6
3-5
33%
53%
1-3
33%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
40.7
30.9
26
74%
9
6
0
1
0
1
2
7
4-6
67%
8-11
5-9
73%
51%
2-4
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.7
36.8
27.0
16
53%
16
4
0
1
1
3
3
13
4-5
80%
6-13
5-9
46%
53%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.2
35.6
30.8
29
57%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
11-12
92%
9-13
4-7
69%
51%
0-7
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.3
25.7
36.1
3
25%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.1
17.6
12.2
14
78%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
44%
2-5
40%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.5
11.4
6.3
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.6
9.1
27.9
6
51%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
6-12
40%
48%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.1
8.5
3.4
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
7.3
4.5
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.8
5.6
21.8
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
51%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.8
11.5
0
1-2
48%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.4
9.4
0
1-2
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.