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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets63%106116
26Trail Blazers37%10298
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.6
35.1
26.0
33
67%
7
6
1
1
1
4
0
7
7-8
88%
7-12
3-6
58%
51%
4-9
44%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
34.0
29.0
22
72%
4
8
2
2
0
4
1
3
4-5
80%
6-9
4-8
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.8
28.9
29.8
9
51%
11
1
0
1
1
0
5
6
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.3
25.5
15.5
11
61%
2
0
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
23.7
21.9
19
84%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
9-12
75%
5-6
3-5
83%
59%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
25.6
17.9
10
43%
7
2
0
0
0
0
3
4
3-4
75%
2-6
2-4
33%
55%
1-4
25%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.7
22.5
18.3
7
117%
2
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
1-1
100%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.0
20.0
16.6
3
75%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.2
13.9
14.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.1
4.0
9.4
2
53%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.2
4.0
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
2.9
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
33.8
1
4-8
55%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.0
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.7
40.4
36.0
11
41%
3
7
2
1
0
3
2
1
2-3
67%
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
1-2
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
40.3
33.9
32
68%
13
3
1
1
0
0
3
10
8-10
80%
12-19
8-16
63%
50%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.5
38.0
33.5
18
42%
3
4
2
1
0
2
1
2
5-6
83%
5-8
3-5
63%
48%
1-11
9%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.6
26.7
21.3
9
53%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1-1
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
51%
0-2
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.6
22.8
29.8
11
58%
8
0
1
1
0
0
3
5
1-1
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
54%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.1
25.4
30.0
6
44%
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
55%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
20.8
8.7
9
48%
6
4
0
0
1
1
1
5
1-1
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
46%
0-2
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
14.7
24.3
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.2
4.9
14.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
4.0
4.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.4
2.3
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
6.6
0
0-1
43%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.4
3.5
0
0-1
40%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.