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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies44%9684
7Lakers56%9886
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.2
38.6
30.8
11
62%
8
7
3
1
2
3
0
8
1-2
50%
5-8
5-10
63%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
33.7
32.8
21
53%
2
6
2
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
8-17
4-9
47%
47%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.7
32.0
27.9
15
43%
7
0
0
1
1
0
2
5
1-1
100%
7-17
5-10
41%
48%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.1
19.5
26.0
6
38%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.2
18.3
24.5
4
67%
2
2
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
31.3
27.0
14
47%
4
6
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
7-11
3-7
64%
46%
0-4
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
21.4
10.7
5
50%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
19.9
20.3
3
21%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
12.2
15.8
3
52%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
8.3
15.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.9
4.8
3.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.9
4.0
0
0-0
44%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.1
2.3
0
0-1
49%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.6
42.5
40.7
24
48%
5
9
1
1
0
4
0
5
4-4
100%
10-18
7-14
56%
48%
0-5
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.1
38.6
31.7
6
50%
4
4
0
1
0
5
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
2-5
40%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.7
35.6
31.3
19
60%
9
3
0
0
0
0
1
8
3-4
75%
8-14
5-10
57%
49%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.3
35.6
35.1
9
47%
10
2
1
1
1
4
1
9
3-6
50%
3-7
6-10
43%
57%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
26.1
33.5
2
18%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-1
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-4
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.2
36.7
22.2
13
73%
5
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
1-3
33%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.8
24.9
18.7
13
57%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
47%
2-3
67%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.2
11.8
0
1-3
52%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.4
10.3
0
1-2
45%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.6
3.1
0
0-0
47%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.4
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.3
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.8
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.