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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
November 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Lakers28%10085
16Pelicans72%10896
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
41.6
23.6
11
51%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
2-5
40%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.7
36.5
30.7
13
51%
3
8
0
1
0
5
0
3
3-4
75%
2-6
1-3
33%
39%
2-5
40%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.4
28.4
22.0
13
55%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.3
27.5
29.8
9
33%
11
2
0
0
1
0
4
7
3-4
75%
3-12
5-11
25%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.5
23.5
17.4
16
58%
4
2
0
0
2
2
0
4
2-2
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.9
22.6
20.9
10
46%
4
2
0
1
0
3
3
1
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.3
22.3
15.3
4
30%
13
1
1
0
1
0
2
11
0-6
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.3
21.1
24.2
3
30%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
16.4
19.4
6
51%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.8
24.1
0
3-6
49%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.7
8.5
0
0-1
43%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.4
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.6
2.5
0
0-1
46%
Elias Harris
F · 6'8" 239 · 24.3
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.4
39.4
29.0
13
39%
5
13
4
1
0
4
0
5
3-4
75%
5-14
5-10
36%
46%
0-1
0%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.7
37.2
35.9
32
70%
12
3
1
2
6
2
4
8
8-11
73%
12-18
8-15
67%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
31.1
30.7
16
59%
6
2
2
1
0
0
0
6
5-6
83%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.7
29.4
25.2
14
58%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
7-12
5-10
58%
51%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.1
18.5
23.7
2
25%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
26.8
25.0
7
28%
7
2
3
1
0
1
1
6
1-1
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
50%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.1
18.5
18.8
2
50%
9
0
0
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
16.7
16.0
10
71%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.9
11.6
19.6
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
10.4
4.9
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
0.1
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Arinze Onuaku
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 26.3
0.1
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.7
0.1
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.5
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.