Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 8, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Knicks | 65% | 103 | 101 |
 | 30 | Bobcats | 35% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Raptors | 30% | 91 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Celtics | 43% | 96 | 91 |
 | 27 | Magic | 57% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Nets | 52% | 105 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Thunder | 59% | 106 | 119 |
 | 19 | Pistons | 41% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Bulls | 79% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Mavericks | 40% | 109 | 108 |
 | 9 | Timberwolves | 60% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Lakers | 28% | 100 | 85 |
 | 16 | Pelicans | 72% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, November 7, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 18% | 102 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 22 | Nuggets | 48% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Heat | 70% | 114 | 102 |
Wednesday, November 6, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 37% | 94 | 87 |
| 26 | Celtics | 63% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 59% | 100 | 90 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 41% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 47% | 96 | 80 |
| 9 | Pacers | 53% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 71% | 114 | 90 |
| 27 | Magic | 29% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 52% | 108 | 116 |
| 25 | 76ers | 48% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 23% | 93 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 48% | 101 | 104 |
 | 23 | Bucks | 52% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 47% | 109 | 106 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 53% | 110 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 17% | 94 | 96 |
| 2 | Spurs | 83% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 29% | 105 | 93 |
| 4 | Thunder | 71% | 112 | 107 |
Tuesday, November 5, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 42% | 97 | 104 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 58% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 64% | 106 | 104 |
| 16 | Raptors | 36% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 22% | 97 | 88 |
| 9 | Nets | 78% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 55% | 99 | 99 |
| 17 | Pistons | 45% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 20% | 95 | 102 |
| 13 | Knicks | 80% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 25% | 105 | 104 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 75% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 67% | 105 | 102 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 33% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 45% | 108 | 116 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 58% | 108 | 105 |
| 24 | Kings | 42% | 106 | 100 |
Monday, November 4, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 41% | 108 | 118 |
| 3 | Clippers | 59% | 111 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celtics | 18% | 89 | 88 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 82% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 62% | 110 | 110 |
| 21 | 76ers | 38% | 106 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 52% | 107 | 92 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 48% | 106 | 93 |
Sunday, November 3, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 24% | 95 | 96 |
| 6 | Thunder | 76% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 38% | 102 | 109 |
| 11 | Knicks | 62% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 61% | 108 | 103 |
| 29 | Lakers | 39% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 68% | 106 | 86 |
| 28 | Magic | 32% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 20% | 101 | 93 |
| 1 | Heat | 80% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Celtics | 35% | 97 | 77 |
| 17 | Pistons | 65% | 102 | 87 |
Saturday, November 2, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 29% | 94 | 84 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 71% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 19% | 92 | 74 |
| 7 | Pacers | 81% | 104 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 69% | 106 | 104 |
| 22 | 76ers | 31% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 49% | 104 | 99 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 51% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 47% | 99 | 97 |
| 23 | Bucks | 53% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 68% | 106 | 104 |
| 27 | Jazz | 32% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 61% | 106 | 105 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 18% | 102 | 87 |
| 8 | Warriors | 82% | 114 | 98 |
Friday, November 1, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 35% | 100 | 109 |
| 15 | Wizards | 65% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 62% | 104 | 84 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 38% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 56% | 101 | 90 |
| 29 | Magic | 44% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 38% | 102 | 95 |
| 14 | Hawks | 62% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 47% | 96 | 105 |
| 26 | Celtics | 53% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 32% | 101 | 105 |
| 3 | Rockets | 68% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 27% | 98 | 108 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 73% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 52% | 105 | 100 |
| 8 | Nets | 48% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 106 | 113 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 55% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 34% | 99 | 84 |
| 18 | Suns | 66% | 105 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 60% | 115 | 110 |
| 23 | Kings | 40% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 74% | 109 | 91 |
| 28 | Lakers | 26% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 52% | 107 | 81 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 48% | 106 | 100 |
Thursday, October 31, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 31% | 108 | 115 |
| 4 | Clippers | 69% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 35% | 100 | 81 |
| 9 | Bulls | 65% | 106 | 82 |
Wednesday, October 30, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 68% | 101 | 101 |
| 26 | Jazz | 32% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 58% | 106 | 94 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 42% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 73% | 105 | 110 |
| 30 | 76ers | 27% | 97 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Celtics | 34% | 96 | 87 |
| 16 | Raptors | 66% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 44% | 98 | 102 |
| 21 | Pistons | 56% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 28% | 100 | 83 |
| 11 | Knicks | 72% | 107 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 16% | 96 | 83 |
| 3 | Rockets | 84% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 22% | 97 | 115 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 78% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pacers | 57% | 98 | 95 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 43% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 41% | 100 | 109 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 59% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 35% | 96 | 94 |
| 1 | Spurs | 65% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 106 | 91 |
| 24 | Suns | 49% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 51% | 109 | 88 |
| 23 | Kings | 49% | 108 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 19% | 97 | 94 |
| 9 | Warriors | 81% | 109 | 125 |
Tuesday, October 29, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 17% | 93 | 87 |
| 6 | Pacers | 83% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 69% | 110 | 103 |
| 27 | Lakers | 31% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 34% | 98 | 95 |
| 3 | Heat | 66% | 104 | 107 |