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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks61%107108
28Magic39%103100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.1
40
38
19
2
8
3
2
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
9-17
6-13
53%
47%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.5
34
31
11
8
0
2
1
0
0
2
6
3-4
75%
1-5
5-9
20%
50%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.4
33
33
18
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
5-10
33%
48%
4-6
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
31
33
11
1
9
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
23
21
6
4
1
1
1
2
4
1
3
0-2
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.6
25
24
18
5
2
2
1
1
0
1
4
4-6
67%
7-9
4-8
78%
52%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.8
24
23
12
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
2-7
29%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
17
18
7
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.7
13
10
6
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.0
4
0
0-1
44%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
2
0
0-0
50%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.2
1
0
0-0
44%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.1
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
37
36
25
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
13-14
93%
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.5
35
31
12
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
6
4-6
67%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
0-3
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.1
34
33
16
8
4
2
1
1
2
0
8
0-0
-
8-12
6-12
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.8
23
30
15
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
3-6
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.7
22
17
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.7
29
21
5
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
28
23
10
4
6
1
1
0
9
0
4
3-4
75%
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
15
13
8
6
0
0
0
0
3
1
5
0-1
0%
4-5
2-5
80%
52%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
8
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.0
8
7
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.6
14
0
2-4
51%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.4
12
1
1-2
41%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.3
9
0
2-3
49%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.9
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.