Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, November 16, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Heat | 76% | 104 | 97 |
 | 30 | Bobcats | 24% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Mavericks | 61% | 107 | 108 |
 | 28 | Magic | 39% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Knicks | 58% | 107 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Bulls | 55% | 92 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Celtics | 21% | 99 | 88 |
 | 7 | Timberwolves | 79% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Pelicans | 71% | 111 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Thunder | 76% | 107 | 92 |
 | 26 | Bucks | 24% | 97 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Nets | 18% | 104 | 103 |
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Friday, November 15, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 21% | 88 | 77 |
| 7 | Pacers | 79% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 51% | 96 | 96 |
 | 14 | Raptors | 49% | 95 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 25% | 102 | 103 |
| 12 | Hawks | 75% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Celtics | 45% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 40% | 97 | 86 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 60% | 101 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 32% | 102 | 104 |
| 3 | Heat | 68% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 59% | 110 | 113 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 41% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 49% | 101 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Jazz | 21% | 94 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Lakers | 36% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Pistons | 48% | 105 | 97 |
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Thursday, November 14, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 49% | 104 | 109 |
| 15 | Knicks | 51% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 42% | 102 | 115 |
| 5 | Warriors | 58% | 105 | 116 |
Wednesday, November 13, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 39% | 99 | 91 |
| 27 | Magic | 61% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 70% | 109 | 117 |
| 25 | 76ers | 30% | 102 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 35% | 95 | 89 |
| 23 | Celtics | 65% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 36% | 92 | 103 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 64% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cavaliers | 23% | 102 | 95 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 77% | 112 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 35% | 103 | 95 |
| 12 | Hawks | 65% | 108 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 23% | 96 | 79 |
| 4 | Spurs | 77% | 106 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 32% | 105 | 99 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 68% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 53% | 100 | 105 |
| 29 | Jazz | 47% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 37% | 102 | 89 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 107 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 61% | 106 | 86 |
| 24 | Kings | 39% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 43% | 109 | 103 |
| 3 | Clippers | 57% | 112 | 111 |
Tuesday, November 12, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 17% | 94 | 95 |
| 1 | Heat | 83% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 36% | 104 | 95 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 64% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 25% | 100 | 95 |
| 7 | Warriors | 75% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 58% | 105 | 95 |
| 28 | Lakers | 42% | 102 | 116 |
Monday, November 11, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 67% | 105 | 103 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 33% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 39% | 91 | 79 |
| 6 | Pacers | 61% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 66% | 107 | 109 |
| 23 | 76ers | 34% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 43% | 97 | 105 |
| 26 | Celtics | 57% | 99 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 30% | 97 | 81 |
| 10 | Bulls | 70% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 29% | 96 | 104 |
| 5 | Rockets | 71% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 56% | 106 | 100 |
| 29 | Jazz | 44% | 104 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 40% | 105 | 103 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 30% | 110 | 107 |
| 3 | Clippers | 70% | 117 | 109 |
Sunday, November 10, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 58% | 102 | 120 |
| 15 | Knicks | 42% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 26% | 101 | 105 |
| 2 | Thunder | 74% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 49% | 100 | 94 |
| 21 | Suns | 51% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 64% | 113 | 113 |
| 27 | Lakers | 36% | 108 | 90 |
Saturday, November 9, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 27% | 93 | 91 |
| 16 | Raptors | 73% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 23% | 99 | 94 |
| 13 | Hawks | 77% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pacers | 45% | 97 | 96 |
| 11 | Nets | 55% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 37% | 104 | 125 |
| 21 | Cavaliers | 63% | 108 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Celtics | 11% | 91 | 111 |
| 1 | Heat | 89% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 42% | 111 | 107 |
| 5 | Rockets | 58% | 113 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 42% | 98 | 90 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 58% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 49% | 106 | 91 |
| 23 | Bucks | 51% | 107 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 110 | 96 |
| 24 | Kings | 49% | 109 | 85 |
Friday, November 8, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Knicks | 65% | 103 | 101 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 35% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 30% | 91 | 84 |
| 7 | Pacers | 70% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Celtics | 43% | 96 | 91 |
| 27 | Magic | 57% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 53% | 108 | 79 |
| 25 | 76ers | 47% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 52% | 105 | 108 |
| 18 | Wizards | 48% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 59% | 106 | 119 |
| 19 | Pistons | 41% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 21% | 94 | 73 |
| 10 | Bulls | 79% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 40% | 109 | 108 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 60% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 28% | 100 | 85 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 72% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 37% | 103 | 74 |
| 2 | Spurs | 63% | 107 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 38% | 102 | 103 |
| 22 | Suns | 62% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 32% | 106 | 91 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 113 | 104 |
Thursday, November 7, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 30% | 107 | 97 |
| 1 | Heat | 70% | 114 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 52% | 108 | 107 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 48% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 18% | 102 | 99 |
| 4 | Rockets | 82% | 114 | 98 |
Wednesday, November 6, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 59% | 100 | 90 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 41% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 47% | 96 | 80 |
| 9 | Pacers | 53% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 71% | 114 | 90 |
| 27 | Magic | 29% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 52% | 108 | 116 |
| 25 | 76ers | 48% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 37% | 94 | 87 |
| 26 | Celtics | 63% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 23% | 93 | 99 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 77% | 103 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 48% | 101 | 104 |
| 23 | Bucks | 52% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 47% | 109 | 106 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 53% | 110 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 17% | 94 | 96 |
| 2 | Spurs | 83% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 29% | 105 | 93 |
| 4 | Thunder | 71% | 112 | 107 |
Tuesday, November 5, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 64% | 106 | 104 |
| 16 | Raptors | 36% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 22% | 97 | 88 |
| 9 | Nets | 78% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 55% | 99 | 99 |
| 17 | Pistons | 45% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 20% | 95 | 102 |
| 13 | Knicks | 80% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 42% | 97 | 104 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 58% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 25% | 105 | 104 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 75% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 67% | 105 | 102 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 33% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 45% | 108 | 116 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 58% | 108 | 105 |
| 24 | Kings | 42% | 106 | 100 |
Monday, November 4, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 52% | 107 | 92 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 48% | 106 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 62% | 110 | 110 |
| 21 | 76ers | 38% | 106 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celtics | 18% | 89 | 88 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 82% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 41% | 108 | 118 |
| 3 | Clippers | 59% | 111 | 137 |
Sunday, November 3, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Celtics | 35% | 97 | 77 |
| 17 | Pistons | 65% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 20% | 101 | 93 |
| 1 | Heat | 80% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 68% | 106 | 86 |
| 28 | Magic | 32% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 24% | 95 | 96 |
| 6 | Thunder | 76% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 38% | 102 | 109 |
| 11 | Knicks | 62% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 61% | 108 | 103 |
| 29 | Lakers | 39% | 104 | 105 |