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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Saturday
November 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Pacers45%9194
11Bulls55%92110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.5
34.7
28.1
11
60%
2
5
1
1
1
2
0
2
4-5
80%
2-5
3-5
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
32.7
31.8
12
36%
6
2
0
1
0
3
1
5
6-6
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
47%
0-3
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
32.1
28.8
12
40%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.9
29.3
29.9
14
54%
10
0
0
0
3
1
5
5
4-7
57%
5-10
4-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.2
27.6
25.9
13
40%
7
1
0
1
2
1
3
4
1-1
100%
6-16
4-8
38%
48%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.5
20.4
18.9
8
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.7
16.5
2.6
13
111%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
3-4
75%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.7
15.6
12.8
9
85%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.6
13.8
23.6
2
17%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
41%
0-1
0%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
10.2
15.1
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.0
6.7
17.8
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.5
0.4
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.8
5.3
0
0-1
41%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.6
32.5
36.6
23
67%
7
2
2
1
0
3
1
6
6-7
86%
7-12
5-10
58%
45%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.7
32.0
30.6
4
26%
7
6
2
1
0
1
1
6
2-4
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
30.6
15.6
20
63%
3
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
6-11
55%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.0
26.3
29.3
13
55%
6
1
0
1
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
6-11
6-11
55%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.2
24.6
30.5
10
89%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
5-6
83%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.9
32.6
33.6
13
55%
4
8
0
1
1
3
0
4
4-4
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
42%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
26.6
23.3
15
56%
8
0
0
0
2
1
4
4
1-1
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.2
23.4
25.0
10
100%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
2-2
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.2
10.8
8.1
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.0
0.4
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
0.4
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.7
6.7
0
1-1
41%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 38.4
0.4
0
0-0
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.