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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Jazz12%9588
5Warriors88%111102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.7
35
40
14
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
3-9
5-12
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 22.3
34
33
17
7
1
1
1
1
2
2
5
1-2
50%
8-12
5-11
67%
47%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 33.4
34
33
12
2
5
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
44%
2-5
40%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 21.5
28
33
10
5
2
0
1
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-12
6-12
42%
50%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 22.3
26
28
8
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 27.4
26
20
14
6
0
1
1
0
4
3
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
3-5
60%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 31.0
25
17
7
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
39%
1-1
100%
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 30.4
10
6
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.0
10
16
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-4
20%
38%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.4
9
7
0
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
3
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
36%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.4
5
0
0-1
46%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 26.1
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 21.0
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
40
33
25
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
49%
5-8
63%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
39
34
15
3
11
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
7-15
4-8
47%
50%
0-5
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.8
38
35
16
6
3
4
2
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
3-3
3-5
100%
54%
3-5
60%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 29.0
30
27
12
11
2
0
1
2
2
5
6
2-2
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
53%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
27
31
13
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
5-10
7-13
50%
54%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.5
29
22
11
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
1-1
100%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 35.1
12
18
6
4
0
0
0
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
49%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.7
9
15
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 26.3
8
10
0
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 24.4
3
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Nemanja Nedovic
G · 6'3" 192 · 22.4
3
3
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.5
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.1
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.