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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nuggets23%102111
7Rockets77%112122
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.0
39
35
28
2
17
2
1
1
5
0
2
4-6
67%
9-15
6-12
60%
49%
2-4
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.2
27
24
14
8
1
1
1
1
0
5
3
0-1
0%
7-12
4-8
58%
50%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.0
25
28
8
10
1
1
1
0
1
5
5
0-0
-
4-11
5-9
36%
53%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.1
25
23
8
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-5
1-3
0%
39%
2-7
29%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
14
16
8
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
0-3
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.5
29
19
14
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
2-6
33%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.0
21
14
10
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.3
17
20
9
10
0
0
0
1
0
6
4
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.7
16
21
0
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
13
18
6
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.5
12
17
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.0
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
1-1
100%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.3
7
0
1-2
47%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.8
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.2
36
31
17
5
9
1
1
1
3
2
3
5-5
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
51%
2-6
33%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
34
37
20
6
3
1
1
0
3
2
4
3-3
100%
7-11
5-8
64%
56%
1-2
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.9
32
25
14
12
2
1
1
3
3
4
8
1-4
25%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
1-2
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.9
29
35
25
7
1
0
1
1
4
0
7
17-24
71%
4-6
6-11
67%
58%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.3
27
29
11
5
2
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
3-4
75%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
32
34
16
4
7
1
2
1
1
0
4
4-6
67%
6-9
4-7
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.4
18
19
7
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.2
16
2
12
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
4-5
0-1
80%
54%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.9
14
16
0
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.8
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.7
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
10
0
1-2
55%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
2
0
0-0
58%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.5
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.