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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 1, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2476ers
100
22Pistons
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
34
33
15
6
6
6
2
0
4
0
6
5-5
100%
5-13
4-9
38%
44%
0-2
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.1
31
36
20
4
3
3
1
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
5-9
6-13
56%
46%
2-3
67%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.6
31
21
11
9
5
1
0
3
0
0
9
0-0
-
4-11
3-5
36%
49%
1-4
25%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
29
29
24
5
0
1
1
2
2
2
3
4-5
80%
7-11
5-10
64%
51%
2-6
33%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.7
28
21
6
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
0-2
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.7
22
28
11
2
0
0
1
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.6
21
17
5
1
3
3
1
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.8
15
23
2
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.4
14
12
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 23.3
6
12
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.4
5
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 23.3
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.9
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.6
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.2
38
36
20
6
12
0
2
0
5
2
4
3-3
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
45%
3-8
38%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.0
35
36
20
2
5
0
2
3
3
0
2
1-2
50%
5-9
5-10
56%
51%
3-5
60%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.3
33
26
31
19
0
6
1
2
1
6
13
7-18
39%
12-15
5-8
80%
61%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.8
29
20
10
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.5
26
31
7
10
4
1
1
0
3
1
9
5-6
83%
1-6
6-11
17%
52%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
32
31
17
4
3
1
1
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
6-14
6-11
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.6
16
25
5
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
0-5
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.8
12
4
5
5
0
1
0
0
4
2
3
3-4
75%
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
7
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.8
5
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-1
0%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
3
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-2
0%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.7
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.3
6
0
1-1
47%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.9
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.