Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, December 1, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Raptors | 57% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Pistons | 64% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Bobcats | 15% | 92 | 98 |
 | 1 | Heat | 85% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Timberwolves | 31% | 103 | 103 |
 | 3 | Thunder | 69% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Pelicans | 46% | 104 | 103 |
 | 18 | Knicks | 54% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Lakers | 46% | 106 | 108 |
Saturday, November 30, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bulls | 63% | 98 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Nets | 27% | 91 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 51% | 109 | 112 |
 | 9 | Mavericks | 49% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Celtics | 51% | 98 | 85 |
 | 28 | Bucks | 49% | 97 | 92 |
Friday, November 29, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 45% | 97 | 76 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 55% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 72% | 102 | 109 |
 | 25 | Magic | 28% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 61% | 102 | 90 |
| 12 | Raptors | 39% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 51% | 106 | 87 |
| 19 | Hawks | 49% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 42% | 97 | 86 |
| 24 | Celtics | 58% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 42% | 103 | 106 |
| 20 | Pistons | 58% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 27% | 97 | 95 |
| 7 | Rockets | 73% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 37% | 100 | 112 |
| 2 | Thunder | 63% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 29% | 90 | 73 |
| 4 | Pacers | 71% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 56% | 107 | 121 |
| 26 | 76ers | 44% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 40% | 104 | 95 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 60% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 61% | 101 | 112 |
| 30 | Jazz | 39% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 65% | 111 | 104 |
| 23 | Kings | 35% | 106 | 98 |
Wednesday, November 27, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pacers | 73% | 98 | 99 |
| 27 | Bobcats | 27% | 90 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 47% | 103 | 94 |
| 25 | Magic | 53% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 59% | 96 | 100 |
| 24 | Celtics | 41% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 42% | 102 | 99 |
| 21 | Nets | 58% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 74% | 106 | 95 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 26% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 48% | 96 | 99 |
| 20 | Pistons | 52% | 97 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 30% | 100 | 84 |
| 6 | Rockets | 70% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 56% | 100 | 100 |
| 29 | Bucks | 44% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 31% | 106 | 117 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 69% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 46% | 100 | 88 |
| 5 | Thunder | 54% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 43% | 104 | 99 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 57% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 104 | 106 |
| 19 | Suns | 46% | 103 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 27% | 103 | 80 |
| 4 | Clippers | 73% | 111 | 93 |
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 35% | 95 | 102 |
| 13 | Raptors | 65% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 38% | 100 | 111 |
| 14 | Wizards | 62% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 26% | 98 | 109 |
| 11 | Hawks | 74% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 63% | 106 | 102 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 37% | 102 | 101 |
Monday, November 25, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Celtics | 47% | 96 | 96 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 53% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 37% | 99 | 84 |
| 3 | Pacers | 63% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 38% | 98 | 94 |
| 20 | Pistons | 62% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 18% | 95 | 92 |
| 1 | Heat | 82% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 51% | 101 | 93 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 49% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 33% | 106 | 110 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 67% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 26% | 98 | 93 |
| 2 | Spurs | 74% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 62% | 96 | 83 |
| 30 | Jazz | 38% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 35% | 101 | 91 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 107 | 102 |
Sunday, November 24, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 45% | 98 | 109 |
| 21 | Nets | 55% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 38% | 100 | 82 |
| 5 | Clippers | 62% | 104 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 56% | 101 | 104 |
| 27 | Magic | 44% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 17% | 94 | 73 |
| 4 | Thunder | 83% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 37% | 104 | 86 |
| 23 | Lakers | 63% | 108 | 100 |
Saturday, November 23, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 20% | 103 | 102 |
| 6 | Clippers | 80% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 15% | 91 | 98 |
| 3 | Pacers | 85% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 47% | 100 | 89 |
| 16 | Wizards | 53% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Celtics | 23% | 96 | 94 |
| 10 | Hawks | 77% | 106 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 17% | 95 | 99 |
| 2 | Heat | 83% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 33% | 106 | 101 |
| 4 | Rockets | 67% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 39% | 97 | 96 |
| 24 | Bucks | 61% | 101 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 14% | 91 | 96 |
| 1 | Spurs | 86% | 105 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 46% | 109 | 100 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 54% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 101 | 113 |
| 8 | Warriors | 66% | 106 | 101 |
Friday, November 22, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 54% | 98 | 98 |
| 27 | Bobcats | 46% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 47% | 102 | 107 |
| 26 | 76ers | 53% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 41% | 98 | 88 |
| 14 | Raptors | 59% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pacers | 75% | 99 | 97 |
| 28 | Celtics | 25% | 90 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 53% | 103 | 96 |
| 20 | Pistons | 47% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 53% | 96 | 102 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 47% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 30% | 101 | 81 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 70% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 32% | 100 | 100 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 68% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 20% | 98 | 93 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 80% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 41% | 99 | 95 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 64% | 105 | 95 |
| 22 | Lakers | 36% | 100 | 102 |
Thursday, November 21, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 34% | 107 | 91 |
| 2 | Thunder | 66% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 56% | 105 | 87 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 44% | 103 | 97 |
Wednesday, November 20, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 62% | 99 | 91 |
| 29 | Bobcats | 38% | 95 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 46% | 100 | 98 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 54% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pacers | 62% | 98 | 103 |
| 15 | Knicks | 38% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 67% | 105 | 120 |
| 28 | Magic | 33% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 59% | 104 | 108 |
| 26 | 76ers | 41% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 30% | 100 | 85 |
| 12 | Hawks | 70% | 107 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 105 | 91 |
| 25 | Bucks | 40% | 101 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 48% | 113 | 102 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 52% | 114 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 27% | 99 | 98 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 73% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Celtics | 12% | 90 | 93 |
| 1 | Spurs | 88% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 32% | 97 | 113 |
| 20 | Suns | 68% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 42% | 106 | 120 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 58% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 43% | 96 | 88 |
| 9 | Warriors | 57% | 98 | 81 |
Tuesday, November 19, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 58% | 107 | 100 |
| 20 | Wizards | 42% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 47% | 103 | 86 |
| 21 | Pistons | 53% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 33% | 101 | 88 |
| 6 | Heat | 67% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Celtics | 21% | 96 | 85 |
| 4 | Rockets | 79% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 55% | 101 | 104 |
| 24 | Kings | 45% | 99 | 107 |
Monday, November 18, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 102 | 108 |
| 16 | Nets | 59% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 18% | 89 | 81 |
| 10 | Bulls | 82% | 102 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 24% | 103 | 113 |
| 3 | Thunder | 76% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 21% | 103 | 94 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 79% | 114 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 77% | 108 | 98 |
| 29 | Jazz | 23% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 30% | 101 | 106 |
| 2 | Clippers | 70% | 108 | 102 |