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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Magic29%9385
13Grizzlies71%10094
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
45
36
17
5
3
1
1
0
4
0
5
6-6
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.8
44
29
19
4
5
1
1
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
2-8
25%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.6
40
34
10
6
3
3
1
0
4
1
5
1-2
50%
3-5
4-9
60%
44%
1-6
17%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.9
40
29
16
9
0
1
1
3
0
1
8
6-6
100%
5-14
5-11
36%
44%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
37
24
19
11
0
0
0
4
1
1
10
1-1
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.8
10
13
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.5
9
12
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
38%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.8
8
22
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.6
7
22
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.1
11
0
2-4
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.7
5
0
1-1
48%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.1
5
0
0-1
40%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
3
0
0-1
41%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.7
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
35
32
13
3
7
1
2
0
2
0
3
1-3
33%
3-11
5-10
27%
50%
2-5
40%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.8
34
22
6
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
30
28
19
12
2
0
1
0
3
2
10
5-6
83%
7-15
5-11
47%
50%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
29
23
11
1
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-6
20%
45%
3-5
60%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.8
26
31
7
11
0
0
1
3
3
5
6
1-2
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
55%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.6
27
25
16
12
0
1
1
0
1
3
9
1-2
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.8
24
23
8
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.8
20
17
6
2
8
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.4
15
5
8
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
2-2
100%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
17
0
1-3
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
11
0
2-3
54%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.9
10
1
2-3
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.