Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 9, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Mavericks | 56% | 106 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Magic | 29% | 93 | 85 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Bobcats | 33% | 97 | 115 |
Sunday, December 8, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 48% | 104 | 106 |
 | 19 | Lakers | 52% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | 63% | 99 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 16% | 96 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Heat | 52% | 102 | 110 |
 | 15 | Pistons | 48% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Celtics | 33% | 96 | 114 |
 | 12 | Knicks | 67% | 102 | 73 |
Saturday, December 7, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 49% | 101 | 112 |
| 30 | Jazz | 51% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 61% | 110 | 103 |
| 28 | 76ers | 39% | 106 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 70% | 108 | 82 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 38% | 94 | 92 |
 | 12 | Bulls | 62% | 99 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 48% | 97 | 108 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 52% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 48% | 106 | 103 |
 | 6 | Timberwolves | 52% | 107 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Nets | 49% | 98 | 90 |
 | 26 | Bucks | 51% | 99 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pacers | 41% | 94 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 48% | 106 | 108 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 107 | 106 |
Friday, December 6, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 63% | 108 | 109 |
 | 18 | Pelicans | 37% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 44% | 102 | 88 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 56% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bucks | 31% | 93 | 109 |
| 19 | Wizards | 69% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 27% | 97 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 56% | 103 | 98 |
| 22 | Celtics | 44% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 33% | 96 | 83 |
| 15 | Knicks | 67% | 102 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 41% | 103 | 83 |
| 5 | Rockets | 59% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 40% | 98 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 25% | 99 | 98 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 75% | 108 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 47% | 105 | 106 |
| 23 | Kings | 53% | 106 | 100 |
Thursday, December 5, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 55% | 98 | 87 |
| 14 | Bulls | 45% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 47% | 100 | 101 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 53% | 101 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 53% | 101 | 113 |
| 23 | Nets | 47% | 100 | 83 |
Wednesday, December 4, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pacers | 78% | 101 | 95 |
| 30 | Jazz | 22% | 90 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 54% | 105 | 88 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 46% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 51% | 107 | 97 |
| 11 | Hawks | 49% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 23% | 99 | 97 |
| 4 | Rockets | 77% | 109 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 57% | 101 | 105 |
| 29 | Bucks | 43% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 45% | 106 | 100 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 55% | 108 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 49% | 105 | 104 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 106 | 111 |
Tuesday, December 3, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 37% | 101 | 125 |
| 25 | 76ers | 63% | 105 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 38% | 94 | 100 |
| 23 | Celtics | 62% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 53% | 104 | 111 |
| 21 | Nets | 47% | 103 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 24% | 97 | 107 |
| 4 | Heat | 76% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 44% | 96 | 91 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 56% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 26% | 97 | 82 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 74% | 106 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 74% | 108 | 97 |
| 26 | Kings | 26% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 32% | 97 | 103 |
| 7 | Warriors | 68% | 104 | 112 |
Monday, December 2, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pacers | 52% | 100 | 102 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 72% | 106 | 103 |
| 27 | Jazz | 28% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 23% | 95 | 100 |
| 1 | Spurs | 77% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 32% | 96 | 131 |
| 14 | Bulls | 68% | 103 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 32% | 95 | 80 |
| 15 | Wizards | 68% | 101 | 98 |
Sunday, December 1, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 107 | 114 |
| 21 | Lakers | 46% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 45% | 104 | 103 |
| 18 | Knicks | 55% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 31% | 103 | 103 |
| 3 | Thunder | 69% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bobcats | 15% | 92 | 98 |
| 1 | Heat | 85% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 67% | 106 | 115 |
| 24 | Kings | 33% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 36% | 102 | 100 |
| 20 | Pistons | 64% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pacers | 51% | 101 | 105 |
| 8 | Clippers | 49% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 44% | 103 | 112 |
| 12 | Raptors | 56% | 105 | 98 |
Saturday, November 30, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 51% | 98 | 85 |
| 28 | Bucks | 49% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 45% | 98 | 101 |
| 19 | Wizards | 55% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 63% | 98 | 93 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 37% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 27% | 92 | 97 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 73% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 52% | 109 | 112 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 48% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 33% | 98 | 112 |
| 3 | Spurs | 67% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 25% | 95 | 112 |
| 12 | Suns | 75% | 104 | 104 |
Friday, November 29, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 29% | 90 | 73 |
| 4 | Pacers | 71% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 45% | 97 | 76 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 55% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 71% | 102 | 109 |
| 25 | Magic | 29% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 60% | 102 | 90 |
| 12 | Raptors | 40% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 51% | 106 | 87 |
| 19 | Hawks | 49% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 41% | 97 | 86 |
| 24 | Celtics | 59% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 42% | 103 | 106 |
| 20 | Pistons | 58% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 37% | 100 | 112 |
| 2 | Thunder | 63% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 56% | 107 | 121 |
| 26 | 76ers | 44% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 40% | 104 | 95 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 60% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 62% | 101 | 112 |
| 30 | Jazz | 38% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 65% | 111 | 104 |
| 23 | Kings | 35% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 27% | 97 | 95 |
| 7 | Rockets | 73% | 106 | 114 |
Wednesday, November 27, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 31% | 106 | 117 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 69% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pacers | 73% | 98 | 99 |
| 27 | Bobcats | 27% | 90 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 47% | 103 | 94 |
| 25 | Magic | 53% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 59% | 96 | 100 |
| 24 | Celtics | 41% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 42% | 102 | 99 |
| 21 | Nets | 58% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 75% | 106 | 95 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 25% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 49% | 96 | 99 |
| 20 | Pistons | 51% | 97 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 30% | 100 | 84 |
| 6 | Rockets | 70% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 56% | 100 | 100 |
| 29 | Bucks | 44% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 46% | 99 | 88 |
| 5 | Thunder | 54% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 43% | 104 | 99 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 57% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 104 | 106 |
| 19 | Suns | 46% | 103 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 27% | 103 | 80 |
| 4 | Clippers | 73% | 111 | 93 |
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 36% | 95 | 102 |
| 13 | Raptors | 64% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 63% | 106 | 102 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 37% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 26% | 98 | 109 |
| 11 | Hawks | 74% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 38% | 100 | 111 |
| 14 | Wizards | 62% | 104 | 116 |