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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Saturday
December 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Raptors40%9499
17Bulls60%9777
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
38.7
36.7
15
50%
7
4
0
1
1
2
0
7
1-2
50%
7-12
6-13
58%
46%
0-2
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.7
33.4
33.6
16
57%
3
6
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
45%
2-5
40%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.6
30.7
29.2
15
59%
11
1
1
0
4
1
2
9
3-4
75%
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.6
29.6
32.6
14
57%
8
3
0
1
2
3
2
6
2-3
67%
6-11
5-8
55%
57%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.9
24.2
29.8
9
35%
6
4
1
1
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
45%
0-3
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.0
27.8
21.2
7
44%
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
40%
1-2
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
20.6
16.2
12
102%
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
2-2
100%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.9
16.8
18.8
7
48%
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.1
14.1
12.5
4
69%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.5
1.0
13.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
1.0
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
1.0
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
1.0
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.8
35.4
29.9
10
46%
12
4
1
1
2
1
4
8
2-2
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.7
35.3
12.9
17
45%
7
4
0
0
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
7-17
2-4
41%
48%
1-2
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.2
29.5
21.0
11
75%
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
3
1-3
33%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.8
28.3
12.4
7
58%
1
3
2
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.1
27.1
33.8
8
22%
7
1
1
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-18
7-15
22%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
25.7
25.7
4
29%
7
0
0
0
1
4
0
7
0-0
-
2-7
5-9
29%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.2
23.4
37.5
14
53%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
1-6
17%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.1
19.8
9.0
5
32%
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
1-5
20%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.3
6.8
5.7
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.1
5.0
28.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 38.5
2.8
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
1.0
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.9
36.4
1
2-5
44%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.