Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, December 14, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Lakers | 51% | 104 | 88 |
 | 28 | Bobcats | 49% | 103 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Heat | 86% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Knicks | 49% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Raptors | 40% | 94 | 99 |
 | 17 | Bulls | 60% | 97 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Bucks | 24% | 95 | 93 |
 | 13 | Mavericks | 76% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, December 13, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 19% | 89 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 47% | 100 | 109 |
 | 26 | Magic | 53% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 31% | 101 | 100 |
| 19 | Raptors | 69% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 33% | 95 | 99 |
| 10 | Hawks | 67% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 46% | 97 | 86 |
 | 20 | Celtics | 54% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Nets | 37% | 100 | 99 |
 | 14 | Pistons | 63% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Pelicans | 58% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 24% | 101 | 97 |
 | 3 | Thunder | 76% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 59% | 93 | 91 |
| 29 | Bucks | 41% | 90 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 36% | 102 | 110 |
| 5 | Spurs | 64% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 31% | 99 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, December 12, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 54% | 104 | 93 |
| 16 | Nets | 46% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 53% | 108 | 104 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 107 | 111 |
Wednesday, December 11, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 42% | 98 | 92 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 58% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 64% | 104 | 96 |
| 21 | Celtics | 36% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 61% | 100 | 116 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 39% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 71% | 101 | 109 |
| 27 | Bucks | 29% | 94 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 21% | 102 | 99 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 79% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 38% | 102 | 106 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 62% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 42% | 93 | 78 |
| 14 | Knicks | 58% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 32% | 98 | 122 |
| 19 | Kings | 68% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 35% | 102 | 93 |
| 7 | Warriors | 65% | 107 | 95 |
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 53% | 101 | 94 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 47% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 48% | 97 | 84 |
| 5 | Pacers | 52% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 61% | 102 | 116 |
| 15 | Raptors | 39% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 55% | 103 | 101 |
| 8 | Hawks | 45% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 48% | 98 | 96 |
| 24 | Nets | 52% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 47% | 104 | 121 |
| 13 | Pistons | 53% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 30% | 90 | 78 |
| 16 | Bulls | 70% | 97 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 48% | 105 | 114 |
| 18 | Lakers | 52% | 106 | 108 |
Monday, December 9, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 67% | 103 | 111 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 33% | 97 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 73% | 112 | 94 |
| 30 | 76ers | 27% | 104 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 47% | 100 | 75 |
| 18 | Wizards | 53% | 101 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 29% | 93 | 85 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 71% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 107 | 105 |
| 29 | Jazz | 33% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 56% | 106 | 97 |
| 22 | Kings | 44% | 104 | 112 |
Sunday, December 8, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 33% | 96 | 114 |
| 12 | Knicks | 67% | 102 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 52% | 102 | 110 |
| 15 | Pistons | 48% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 16% | 96 | 88 |
| 3 | Rockets | 84% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pacers | 37% | 95 | 94 |
| 1 | Thunder | 63% | 99 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 48% | 104 | 106 |
| 19 | Lakers | 52% | 105 | 94 |
Saturday, December 7, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 61% | 110 | 103 |
| 28 | 76ers | 39% | 106 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 70% | 108 | 82 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 30% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 38% | 94 | 92 |
| 12 | Bulls | 62% | 99 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 48% | 97 | 108 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 52% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 48% | 106 | 103 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 52% | 107 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 49% | 98 | 90 |
| 26 | Bucks | 51% | 99 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pacers | 41% | 94 | 111 |
| 1 | Spurs | 59% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 49% | 101 | 112 |
| 30 | Jazz | 51% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 48% | 106 | 108 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 107 | 106 |
Friday, December 6, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 44% | 102 | 88 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 56% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bucks | 31% | 93 | 109 |
| 19 | Wizards | 69% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 27% | 97 | 89 |
| 10 | Hawks | 73% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 56% | 103 | 98 |
| 22 | Celtics | 44% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 33% | 96 | 83 |
| 15 | Knicks | 67% | 102 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 41% | 103 | 83 |
| 5 | Rockets | 59% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 63% | 108 | 109 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 37% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 40% | 98 | 97 |
| 12 | Suns | 60% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 25% | 99 | 98 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 75% | 108 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 47% | 105 | 106 |
| 23 | Kings | 53% | 106 | 100 |
Thursday, December 5, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 53% | 101 | 113 |
| 23 | Nets | 47% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 47% | 100 | 101 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 53% | 101 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 55% | 98 | 87 |
| 14 | Bulls | 45% | 96 | 107 |
Wednesday, December 4, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 54% | 105 | 88 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 46% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 51% | 107 | 97 |
| 11 | Hawks | 49% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 23% | 99 | 97 |
| 4 | Rockets | 77% | 109 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 57% | 101 | 105 |
| 29 | Bucks | 43% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 45% | 106 | 100 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 55% | 108 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pacers | 78% | 101 | 95 |
| 30 | Jazz | 22% | 90 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 49% | 105 | 104 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 106 | 111 |
Tuesday, December 3, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 37% | 101 | 125 |
| 25 | 76ers | 63% | 105 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 38% | 94 | 100 |
| 23 | Celtics | 62% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 53% | 104 | 111 |
| 21 | Nets | 47% | 103 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 24% | 97 | 107 |
| 4 | Heat | 76% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 44% | 96 | 91 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 56% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 26% | 97 | 82 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 74% | 106 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 74% | 108 | 97 |
| 26 | Kings | 26% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 32% | 97 | 103 |
| 7 | Warriors | 68% | 104 | 112 |
Monday, December 2, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 32% | 95 | 80 |
| 15 | Wizards | 68% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 32% | 96 | 131 |
| 14 | Bulls | 68% | 103 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 23% | 95 | 100 |
| 1 | Spurs | 77% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 72% | 106 | 103 |
| 27 | Jazz | 28% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pacers | 52% | 100 | 102 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 99 | 106 |
Sunday, December 1, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 44% | 103 | 112 |
| 12 | Raptors | 56% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pacers | 51% | 101 | 105 |
| 8 | Clippers | 49% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 36% | 102 | 100 |
| 20 | Pistons | 64% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 67% | 106 | 115 |
| 24 | Kings | 33% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bobcats | 15% | 92 | 98 |
| 1 | Heat | 85% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 31% | 103 | 103 |
| 3 | Thunder | 69% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 45% | 104 | 103 |
| 18 | Knicks | 55% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 107 | 114 |
| 21 | Lakers | 46% | 106 | 108 |