Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, December 13, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 19% | 89 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Magic | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Raptors | 69% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Knicks | 46% | 97 | 86 |
 | 23 | Celtics | 54% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Nets | 99 | ||
 | 21 | Pistons | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Pelicans | 58% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Lakers | 97 | ||
 | 2 | Thunder | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bulls | 59% | 93 | 91 |
 | 27 | Bucks | 41% | 90 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 110 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, December 12, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Nets | 46% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 104 | ||
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Wednesday, December 11, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 92 | ||
| 28 | Bobcats | 83 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 64% | 104 | 96 |
| 23 | Celtics | 36% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 116 | ||
| 13 | Grizzlies | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 71% | 101 | 109 |
| 25 | Bucks | 29% | 94 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 99 | ||
| 8 | Timberwolves | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 38% | 102 | 106 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 62% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 78 | ||
| 17 | Knicks | 83 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 32% | 98 | 122 |
| 24 | Kings | 68% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Mavericks | 93 | ||
| 4 | Warriors | 95 | ||
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 94 | ||
| 27 | Cavaliers | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Heat | 48% | 97 | 84 |
| 6 | Pacers | 52% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 116 | ||
| 21 | Raptors | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 55% | 103 | 101 |
| 12 | Hawks | 45% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 96 | ||
| 22 | Nets | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 47% | 104 | 121 |
| 19 | Pistons | 53% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 78 | ||
| 10 | Bulls | 74 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 48% | 105 | 114 |
| 18 | Lakers | 52% | 106 | 108 |
Monday, December 9, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 111 | ||
| 29 | Bobcats | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 73% | 112 | 94 |
| 28 | 76ers | 27% | 104 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 75 | ||
| 19 | Wizards | 74 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 29% | 93 | 85 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 71% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 105 | ||
| 30 | Jazz | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 56% | 106 | 97 |
| 24 | Kings | 44% | 104 | 112 |
Sunday, December 8, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 33% | 96 | 114 |
| 14 | Knicks | 67% | 102 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 110 | ||
| 18 | Pistons | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 16% | 96 | 88 |
| 4 | Rockets | 84% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pacers | 94 | ||
| 1 | Thunder | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 48% | 104 | 106 |
| 19 | Lakers | 52% | 105 | 94 |
Saturday, December 7, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 103 | ||
| 26 | 76ers | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 70% | 108 | 82 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 30% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 92 | ||
| 10 | Bulls | 75 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 48% | 97 | 108 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 52% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 103 | ||
| 8 | Timberwolves | 82 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 49% | 98 | 90 |
| 24 | Bucks | 51% | 99 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pacers | 111 | ||
| 2 | Spurs | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 49% | 101 | 112 |
| 30 | Jazz | 51% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 108 | ||
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 106 | ||
Friday, December 6, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 88 | ||
| 30 | Bobcats | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 31% | 93 | 109 |
| 18 | Wizards | 69% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 89 | ||
| 13 | Hawks | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 56% | 103 | 98 |
| 23 | Celtics | 44% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 83 | ||
| 15 | Knicks | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 41% | 103 | 83 |
| 6 | Rockets | 59% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 109 | ||
| 17 | Pelicans | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 40% | 98 | 97 |
| 16 | Suns | 60% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 98 | ||
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 130 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 47% | 105 | 106 |
| 24 | Kings | 53% | 106 | 100 |
Thursday, December 5, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 53% | 101 | 113 |
| 22 | Nets | 47% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 101 | ||
| 10 | Grizzlies | 81 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 55% | 98 | 87 |
| 11 | Bulls | 45% | 96 | 107 |
Wednesday, December 4, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 54% | 105 | 88 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 46% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 97 | ||
| 14 | Hawks | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 23% | 99 | 97 |
| 5 | Rockets | 77% | 109 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 105 | ||
| 25 | Bucks | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 45% | 106 | 100 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 55% | 108 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pacers | 95 | ||
| 29 | Jazz | 86 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 104 | ||
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 111 | ||
Tuesday, December 3, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 37% | 101 | 125 |
| 24 | 76ers | 63% | 105 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 100 | ||
| 23 | Celtics | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 53% | 104 | 111 |
| 21 | Nets | 47% | 103 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 107 | ||
| 1 | Heat | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 44% | 96 | 91 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 56% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 82 | ||
| 9 | Mavericks | 89 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 74% | 108 | 97 |
| 25 | Kings | 26% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 103 | ||
| 6 | Warriors | 112 | ||
Monday, December 2, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 80 | ||
| 17 | Wizards | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 32% | 96 | 131 |
| 11 | Bulls | 68% | 103 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 100 | ||
| 3 | Spurs | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 72% | 106 | 103 |
| 29 | Jazz | 28% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pacers | 102 | ||
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 106 | ||
Sunday, December 1, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 112 | ||
| 16 | Raptors | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 51% | 101 | 105 |
| 7 | Clippers | 49% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 100 | ||
| 22 | Pistons | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 67% | 106 | 115 |
| 25 | Kings | 33% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 98 | ||
| 1 | Heat | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 31% | 103 | 103 |
| 3 | Thunder | 69% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 103 | ||
| 14 | Knicks | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 107 | 114 |
| 18 | Lakers | 46% | 106 | 108 |
Saturday, November 30, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 45% | 98 | 101 |
| 20 | Wizards | 55% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 93 | ||
| 28 | Cavaliers | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 27% | 92 | 97 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 73% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 112 | ||
| 9 | Mavericks | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 33% | 98 | 112 |
| 2 | Spurs | 67% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 112 | ||
| 13 | Suns | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 51% | 98 | 85 |
| 26 | Bucks | 49% | 97 | 92 |