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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 10, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Wizards26%8966
5Pacers74%9893
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
39
33
13
7
3
1
1
1
2
0
7
4-6
67%
3-13
5-11
23%
43%
1-2
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
33
29
7
6
5
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-4
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
1-5
20%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
30
28
4
9
1
0
1
2
1
3
6
0-0
-
2-8
5-9
25%
50%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.5
28
28
17
2
0
2
1
2
3
0
2
2-4
50%
3-14
4-9
21%
40%
3-4
75%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
18
21
3
5
0
1
1
0
3
1
4
1-4
25%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.3
29
22
12
5
4
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-3
0%
6-15
3-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.1
25
25
4
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.7
15
17
0
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.7
9
14
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
39%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.6
8
10
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.1
3
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.1
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-1
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.6
1
0
0-0
35%
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.0
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
38
35
8
14
6
2
2
0
1
2
12
4-4
100%
2-12
5-10
17%
50%
0-2
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
34
34
11
10
5
0
1
0
5
1
9
0-2
0%
4-8
4-8
50%
54%
1-1
100%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.1
31
29
12
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
3-9
5-9
33%
49%
1-1
100%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.7
29
31
5
6
4
1
1
0
3
0
6
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.4
27
31
20
8
2
1
1
0
0
3
5
2-4
50%
9-13
5-10
69%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.7
19
28
2
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
0-4
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.7
18
16
10
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
17
19
16
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
44%
3-3
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.2
16
16
5
6
0
1
1
1
1
1
5
1-3
33%
2-6
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.6
3
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.8
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.8
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.