Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, January 10, 2014
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Wizards | 26% | 89 | 66 | |
5 | Pacers | 74% | 98 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pistons | 114 | |||
30 | 76ers | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 47% | 104 | 80 | |
11 | Hawks | 53% | 105 | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Suns | 99 | |||
12 | Grizzlies | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bobcats | 21% | 98 | 92 | |
8 | Timberwolves | 79% | 109 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 107 | |||
18 | Pelicans | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Heat | 57% | 102 | 95 | |
15 | Nets | 43% | 99 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bulls | 81 | |||
27 | Bucks | 72 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Cavaliers | 47% | 100 | 113 | |
26 | Jazz | 53% | 101 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Magic | 83 | |||
23 | Kings | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Celtics | 20% | 95 | 97 | |
6 | Warriors | 80% | 106 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Lakers | 87 | |||
4 | Clippers | 123 |
Thursday, January 9, 2014
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Heat | 64% | 103 | 92 | |
17 | Knicks | 36% | 98 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 88 | |||
15 | Nuggets | 101 |
Wednesday, January 8, 2014
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Mavericks | 90 | |||
2 | Spurs | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pistons | 33% | 98 | 91 | |
18 | Raptors | 67% | 104 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Pacers | 87 | |||
12 | Hawks | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Warriors | 56% | 101 | 98 | |
15 | Nets | 44% | 99 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Suns | 104 | |||
8 | Timberwolves | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Wizards | 40% | 96 | 102 | |
17 | Pelicans | 60% | 99 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Lakers | 99 | |||
6 | Rockets | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Magic | 26% | 101 | 94 | |
10 | Trail Blazers | 74% | 109 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Celtics | 105 | |||
5 | Clippers | 111 |
Tuesday, January 7, 2014
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Wizards | 97 | |||
29 | Bobcats | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 33% | 101 | 93 | |
23 | Cavaliers | 67% | 107 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Raptors | 79 | |||
4 | Pacers | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pelicans | 25% | 96 | 88 | |
3 | Heat | 75% | 105 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pistons | 85 | |||
16 | Knicks | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Suns | 41% | 96 | 87 | |
19 | Bulls | 59% | 99 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 110 | |||
11 | Grizzlies | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Warriors | 73% | 104 | 101 | |
26 | Bucks | 27% | 95 | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Lakers | 97 | |||
9 | Mavericks | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Celtics | 38% | 100 | 98 | |
15 | Nuggets | 62% | 104 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 101 | |||
27 | Jazz | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 109 | 119 | |
25 | Kings | 42% | 106 | 123 |
Monday, January 6, 2014
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 71% | 113 | 126 | |
29 | 76ers | 29% | 106 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Hawks | 86 | |||
14 | Nets | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Magic | 34% | 98 | 81 | |
7 | Clippers | 66% | 104 | 101 |
Sunday, January 5, 2014
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Grizzlies | 112 | |||
23 | Pistons | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Pacers | 76% | 99 | 82 | |
27 | Cavaliers | 24% | 89 | 78 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Raptors | 97 | |||
2 | Heat | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Warriors | 63% | 102 | 112 | |
21 | Wizards | 37% | 97 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Celtics | 96 | |||
1 | Thunder | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Knicks | 29% | 99 | 92 | |
7 | Mavericks | 71% | 107 | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Nuggets | 137 | |||
20 | Lakers | 115 |
Saturday, January 4, 2014
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pelicans | 22% | 90 | 82 | |
4 | Pacers | 78% | 101 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Heat | 110 | |||
26 | Magic | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Cavaliers | 33% | 97 | 82 | |
16 | Nets | 67% | 103 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Hawks | 84 | |||
14 | Bulls | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Thunder | 47% | 104 | 115 | |
9 | Timberwolves | 53% | 105 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 92 | |||
1 | Spurs | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bucks | 29% | 96 | 100 | |
13 | Suns | 71% | 103 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 101 | |||
10 | Trail Blazers | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Bobcats | 40% | 99 | 113 | |
24 | Kings | 60% | 103 | 103 |
Friday, January 3, 2014
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Raptors | 101 | |||
20 | Wizards | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Warriors | 51% | 104 | 101 | |
11 | Hawks | 49% | 103 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pelicans | 95 | |||
22 | Celtics | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Knicks | 22% | 98 | 100 | |
6 | Rockets | 78% | 108 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 119 | |||
8 | Mavericks | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 41% | 98 | 108 | |
17 | Nuggets | 59% | 101 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Jazz | 99 | |||
21 | Lakers | 110 |
Thursday, January 2, 2014
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Magic | 53% | 100 | 81 | |
28 | Cavaliers | 47% | 99 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Warriors | 123 | |||
3 | Heat | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Celtics | 37% | 92 | 82 | |
14 | Bulls | 63% | 96 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Nets | 95 | |||
1 | Thunder | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Knicks | 18% | 93 | 105 | |
2 | Spurs | 82% | 106 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Grizzlies | 99 | |||
13 | Suns | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bucks | 45% | 98 | 87 | |
27 | Jazz | 55% | 99 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bobcats | 104 | |||
10 | Trail Blazers | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 28% | 104 | 113 | |
24 | Kings | 72% | 111 | 104 |
Wednesday, January 1, 2014
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Mavericks | 87 | |||
20 | Wizards | 78 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Pacers | 60% | 98 | 82 | |
17 | Raptors | 40% | 94 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Pelicans | 112 | |||
9 | Timberwolves | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 30% | 103 | 114 | |
16 | Nuggets | 70% | 111 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bobcats | 85 | |||
6 | Clippers | 112 |
Tuesday, December 31, 2013
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Hawks | 92 | |||
22 | Celtics | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 17% | 91 | 76 | |
4 | Pacers | 83% | 104 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Warriors | 94 | |||
25 | Magic | 81 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Raptors | 49% | 96 | 85 | |
14 | Bulls | 51% | 97 | 79 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 110 | |||
6 | Rockets | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Nets | 22% | 96 | 92 | |
2 | Spurs | 78% | 106 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Trail Blazers | 98 | |||
1 | Thunder | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bucks | 43% | 100 | 94 | |
21 | Lakers | 57% | 102 | 79 |
Monday, December 30, 2013
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Wizards | 48% | 100 | 106 | |
23 | Pistons | 52% | 101 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Bulls | 95 | |||
12 | Grizzlies | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 39% | 106 | 100 | |
9 | Timberwolves | 61% | 110 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Trail Blazers | 108 | |||
13 | Pelicans | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Heat | 63% | 105 | 97 | |
17 | Nuggets | 37% | 101 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bobcats | 80 | |||
28 | Jazz | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Suns | 27% | 100 | 107 | |
4 | Clippers | 73% | 108 | 88 |
Sunday, December 29, 2013
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Warriors | 108 | |||
28 | Cavaliers | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Hawks | 55% | 103 | 102 | |
25 | Magic | 45% | 101 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 86 | |||
1 | Thunder | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 18% | 96 | 104 | |
2 | Spurs | 82% | 109 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 111 | |||
20 | Lakers | 104 |
Saturday, December 28, 2013
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Cavaliers | 100 | |||
23 | Celtics | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Nets | 21% | 92 | 91 | |
5 | Pacers | 79% | 102 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Knicks | 100 | |||
19 | Raptors | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pistons | 40% | 99 | 82 | |
21 | Wizards | 60% | 102 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bobcats | 116 | |||
11 | Hawks | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 51% | 99 | 105 | |
12 | Bulls | 49% | 98 | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pelicans | 98 | |||
6 | Rockets | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Nuggets | 38% | 96 | 99 | |
13 | Grizzlies | 62% | 100 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Timberwolves | 117 | |||
26 | Bucks | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 29% | 102 | 101 | |
14 | Suns | 71% | 109 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Heat | 108 | |||
10 | Trail Blazers | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Jazz | 14% | 97 | 90 | |
4 | Clippers | 86% | 112 | 98 |