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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
January 10, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets47%10480
11Hawks53%10583
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
38.9
34.5
11
56%
4
1
0
2
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
49%
1-4
25%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.4
38.1
37.4
25
62%
7
7
0
1
0
5
0
7
11-14
79%
4-11
5-10
36%
50%
2-3
67%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.1
37.3
36.0
15
63%
11
1
1
1
2
1
4
7
1-2
50%
7-11
7-12
64%
57%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.0
26.6
30.0
6
30%
8
2
1
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.8
25.1
14.6
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.0
27.1
16.8
13
66%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.0
23.4
20.1
2
14%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
10.4
3.7
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.3
7.0
8.9
4
40%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
6.2
17.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
19.2
1
2-4
55%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
4.6
0
0-1
52%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.6
1.7
0
0-0
42%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.5
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.8
37.5
34.6
20
78%
5
2
3
1
1
3
2
3
4-4
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
4-7
57%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.5
33.9
32.2
5
25%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
51%
1-6
17%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.6
32.8
33.4
7
27%
3
4
2
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-6
5-11
17%
48%
1-6
17%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.9
32.0
32.2
20
52%
7
5
1
1
1
3
4
3
2-3
67%
6-12
5-10
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
21.8
21.8
4
25%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
0-3
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.2
24.6
20.9
6
43%
3
8
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.8
23.6
19.8
0
0%
11
0
0
1
3
2
4
7
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.5
18.4
17.2
14
70%
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
7-9
3-5
78%
51%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.7
15.3
15.7
7
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.3
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.8
2.5
0
0-1
52%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.6
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 22.6
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.