Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Nuggets	24%	102	107	103.9	103	98.9
	7	Raptors	76%	112	112	108.7	103	88.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	49.2	15	54%	12	1	0	1	1	4	7	5	1-1	100%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	49.2	22	50%	6	12	2	0	3	5	0	6	4-6	67%	6-11	55%	2-8	25%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	47.0	18	43%	6	3	3	0	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	3-10	30%	4-11	36%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	44.0	25	83%	6	2	0	0	3	5	1	5	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	4-7	57%
JJ Hickson F · 6'9" 242 · 26	22.6	10	56%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	24.1	12	35%	13	2	1	1	2	6	8	5	0-0	-	6-14	43%	0-3	0%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	13.9	3	30%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	5.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	5.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	3.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	\| DND - Low Back Strain
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 31	\| DND - Thoracic Vertebral Contusion
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 27	\| DND - Left Lower Leg Strain
Randy Foye #4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jusuf Nurkić #23 · C · 6'11" 290 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	47%	49	21	7	2	13	0	19	30	11-15	73%	33-74	45%	10-30	33%

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17 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	49.2	15	54%	12	1	0	1	1	4	7	5	1-1	100%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	49.2	22	50%	6	12	2	0	3	5	0	6	4-6	67%	6-11	55%	2-8	25%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	47.0	18	43%	6	3	3	0	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	3-10	30%	4-11	36%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	44.0	25	83%	6	2	0	0	3	5	1	5	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	4-7	57%
JJ Hickson F · 6'9" 242 · 26	22.6	10	56%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	24.1	12	35%	13	2	1	1	2	6	8	5	0-0	-	6-14	43%	0-3	0%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	13.9	3	30%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	5.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	5.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	3.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	\| DND - Low Back Strain
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 31	\| DND - Thoracic Vertebral Contusion
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 27	\| DND - Left Lower Leg Strain
Randy Foye #4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jusuf Nurkić #23 · C · 6'11" 290 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	47%	49	21	7	2	13	0	19	30	11-15	73%	33-74	45%	10-30	33%

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7 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 29	41.3	13	38%	3	13	0	1	4	1	1	2	7-8	88%	3-8	38%	0-5	0%
Terrence Ross F · 6'7" 206 · 24	39.6	16	50%	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	1-8	13%
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 28	33.1	9	45%	5	2	2	2	1	2	0	5	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 23	31.3	18	75%	12	0	0	4	2	5	2	10	2-3	67%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 28	30.0	7	88%	4	1	1	0	3	3	1	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 26	38.5	19	86%	8	2	0	1	0	1	2	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	5-7	71%
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 28	28.0	26	62%	3	1	0	1	2	2	1	2	9-10	90%	4-6	67%	3-10	30%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 28	20.0	4	67%	4	2	0	1	2	1	1	3	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 29	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bruno Caboclo F · 6'9" 205 · 19	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeMar DeRozan #10 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Lucas Nogueira #92 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	112	56%	44	21	4	10	14	0	8	36	21-29	72%	32-48	67%	9-33	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.94 46.9%

TOR

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

19

37

51%

TOR

16

22

73%

Midrange

DEN

14

37

38%

TOR

16

26

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

10

15.0

30

33%

50%

TOR

9

13.5

33

27%

41%

Free Throws

DEN

11

15

73%

TOR

21

29

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo	25	83%	12.5 / 15
T. Lawson	22	50%	11.0 / 22
W. Chandler	18	43%	9.0 / 21
T. Mozgov	15	54%	7.5 / 14
D. Arthur	12	35%	6.0 / 17
J. Hickson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Gee	3	30%	1.5 / 5
E. Green	2	33%	1.0 / 3
G. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Gallinari	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Williams	26	62%	13.0 / 21
P. Patterson	19	86%	9.5 / 11
J. Valančiūnas	18	75%	9.0 / 12
T. Ross	16	50%	8.0 / 16
K. Lowry	13	38%	6.5 / 17
G. Vasquez	9	45%	4.5 / 10
A. Johnson	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Johnson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Hansbrough	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 104.8 4 111.2	DEN 103.9 TOR 108.7 +4.9
Pace	4 95.9 23 92.8	DEN 98.9 +10.6 TOR 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.4 9 15.8	DEN 14.6 −1.7 TOR 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 47.9% 8 50.8%	DEN 46.2% TOR 56.2% +10.0%
TO %	15 14.3% 4 13.0%	DEN 11.9% −2.7% TOR 14.6%
ORB %	10 26.5% 11 25.6%	DEN 34.5% +13.4% TOR 21.1%
FTrt	12 27.8 8 29.5	DEN 14.4 TOR 35.8 +21.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.7% 28 54.7%	DEN 48.8% TOR 51.2% +2.4%
STL %	17 8.0% 18 8.0%	DEN 6.8% +2.9% TOR 3.9%
BLK %	22 7.2% 23 7.2%	DEN 4.2% TOR 13.5% +9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 50.8% 6 53.8%	DEN 46.9% TOR 56.0% +9.1%
Rim FG%	22 56.1% 10 59.4%	DEN 51.4% TOR 72.7% +21.3%
Mid FG%	24 37.9% 11 40.5%	DEN 37.8% TOR 61.5% +23.7%
3P %	28 32.5% 11 35.2%	DEN 33.3% +6.0% TOR 27.3%
FT %	24 73.5% 2 78.7%	DEN 73.3% +0.9% TOR 72.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 38.2% 19 35.0%	DEN 35.6% +8.4% TOR 27.2%
Mid Att. %	6 33.4% 10 34.9%	DEN 35.6% TOR 32.1% −3.5%
3P Att. %	12 28.4% 8 30.2%	DEN 28.8% TOR 40.7% +11.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	TOR
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	25.0	28.0
Points	107	112
Rebounds	49	44
Assists	21	21
Steals	7	4
Blocks	2	10
Turnovers (Team)	13 (2)	14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (5)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	36 (3)
Field Goals	43-104	41-81
At-the-Rim FG	19-37	16-22
Midrange FG	14-37	16-26
2-Point FG	33-74	32-48
3-Point FG	10-30	9-33
Free Throws	11-15	21-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg