Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 8, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Celtics | 132 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Nets | 34% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Raptors | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Timberwolves | 14% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, December 7, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 93 | ||
| 21 | Celtics | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 36% | 102 | 84 |
| 13 | Hawks | 64% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Heat | 87 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Thunder | 71% | 101 | 96 |
 | 27 | Pistons | 29% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bucks | 102 | ||
 | 4 | Mavericks | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Knicks | 37% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Pelicans | 104 | ||
 | 29 | Lakers | 87 | ||
Saturday, December 6, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 25 | Pistons | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 55% | 102 | 112 |
 | 9 | Bulls | 45% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 95 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 10% | 92 | 101 |
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23C2CCD2;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_1_'%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st0'%20points='289.4,53%20270.4,86.8%20267.1,113.8%20233.1,174.2%20188.6,174.2%20221.8,115.6%20221.8,53%20187.4,53%20169.2,86.5%20166,113.8%20117.6,200%20125.8,220.3%20155.9,220.3%20142.2,255.1%20116.4,227.4%20119.5,268.1%2075,269.9%20110.4,294.9%2085.2,332.5%20125.9,319.2%20142.6,359.5%20155.4,315.6%20200.9,327.3%20171.5,293.3%20207.6,263.5%20170.3,265.9%20210.7,220.3%20263.7,220.3%20322.4,116.3%20322.4,53%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20points='289.4,53%20270.4,86.8%20267.1,113.8%20233.1,174.2%20188.6,174.2%20221.8,115.6%20221.8,53%20187.4,53%20169.2,86.5%20166,113.8%20117.6,200%20125.8,220.3%20155.9,220.3%20142.2,255.1%20116.4,227.4%20119.5,268.1%2075,269.9%20110.4,294.9%2085.2,332.5%20125.9,319.2%20142.6,359.5%20155.4,315.6%20200.9,327.3%20171.5,293.3%20207.6,263.5%20170.3,265.9%20210.7,220.3%20263.7,220.3%20322.4,116.3%20322.4,53%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='282.3,83.1%20298.4,83.1%20309.6,62.1%20294.1,62.1%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='181.2,83.2%20198.5,83.1%20209.6,62.1%20192.8,62.1%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='177.1,109.6%20192.7,109.6%20194.1,91.6%20179.1,91.6%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='277.8,109.6%20293.5,109.6%20294.9,91.6%20279.8,91.6%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M274.5,120.4l-35.2,62h-84.5l35.2-62h-16.6l-42.5,75h47.2l-35.7,79.9l-14.8-16.5l0.8,19.4l-23.9,1.4l19.2,13.5%20L110,313.4l22.1-7.2l9.1,21.9l6.9-23.8l24.6,6.3l-15.8-18.4l19.5-16.1l-30.2,1.4l55.5-82H249l41.8-75L274.5,120.4L274.5,120.4z%20M136.3,297.8c-4,0-7.2-3.2-7.2-7.1c0-4,3.2-7.1,7.2-7.1s7.1,3.2,7.1,7.1C143.4,294.6,140.2,297.8,136.3,297.8'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 1 | Spurs | 90% | 110 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Magic | 105 | ||
| 16 | Kings | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 27% | 101 | 100 |
| 4 | Clippers | 73% | 109 | 120 |
Friday, December 5, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 102 | ||
 | 25 | Hornets | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 80% | 102 | 103 |
| 30 | 76ers | 20% | 90 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 89 | ||
| 17 | Wizards | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 40% | 107 | 96 |
| 21 | Celtics | 60% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 98 | ||
| 20 | Nets | 75 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 40% | 104 | 105 |
| 6 | Raptors | 60% | 107 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 107 | ||
| 10 | Grizzlies | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 70% | 105 | 114 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 30% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 118 | ||
| 3 | Mavericks | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 56% | 99 | 85 |
| 28 | Bucks | 44% | 97 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 98 | ||
| 26 | Jazz | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 36% | 95 | 101 |
| 16 | Kings | 64% | 99 | 102 |
Thursday, December 4, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 65% | 105 | 90 |
| 21 | Knicks | 35% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 82 | ||
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 26% | 98 | 85 |
| 3 | Warriors | 74% | 107 | 112 |
Wednesday, December 3, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 60% | 99 | 102 |
| 29 | Hornets | 40% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 95 | ||
| 17 | Wizards | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 41% | 102 | 102 |
| 22 | Celtics | 59% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 93 | ||
| 20 | Nets | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 37% | 95 | 112 |
| 12 | Heat | 63% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 96 | ||
| 5 | Rockets | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 68% | 108 | 107 |
| 27 | Bucks | 32% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 85 | ||
| 23 | Timberwolves | 77 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 61% | 105 | 123 |
| 26 | Jazz | 39% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 86 | ||
| 4 | Clippers | 114 | ||
Tuesday, December 2, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 23% | 97 | 108 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 77% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 105 | ||
| 16 | Hawks | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 43% | 103 | 106 |
| 23 | Pistons | 57% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 98 | ||
| 21 | Knicks | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 47% | 103 | 132 |
| 10 | Bulls | 53% | 104 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 104 | ||
| 14 | Pelicans | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 108 | 105 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 41% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 99 | ||
| 13 | Suns | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 60% | 104 | 117 |
| 15 | Kings | 40% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 97 | ||
| 3 | Warriors | 98 | ||
Monday, December 1, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 84% | 104 | 109 |
| 30 | 76ers | 16% | 90 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 86 | ||
| 17 | Wizards | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 55% | 105 | 103 |
| 25 | Jazz | 45% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 101 | ||
| 4 | Clippers | 127 | ||
Sunday, November 30, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 72% | 107 | 111 |
| 22 | Celtics | 28% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 102 | ||
| 20 | Nets | 84 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 73% | 104 | 104 |
| 24 | Pistons | 27% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 97 | ||
| 15 | Kings | 85 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 58% | 99 | 86 |
| 21 | Knicks | 42% | 96 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 93 | ||
| 13 | Suns | 90 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 16% | 98 | 93 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 84% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 122 | ||
| 27 | Lakers | 129 | ||
Saturday, November 29, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 82% | 109 | 110 |
| 30 | 76ers | 18% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 80 | ||
| 18 | Wizards | 83 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 34% | 95 | 75 |
| 15 | Hawks | 66% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 97 | ||
| 6 | Cavaliers | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 65% | 106 | 112 |
| 26 | Jazz | 35% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 117 | ||
| 28 | Bucks | 103 | ||
Friday, November 28, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 57% | 104 | 109 |
| 22 | Celtics | 43% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 106 | ||
| 25 | Hornets | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 45% | 103 | 91 |
| 16 | Hawks | 55% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 104 | ||
| 23 | Pistons | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 46% | 105 | 106 |
| 8 | Raptors | 54% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 102 | ||
| 5 | Rockets | 85 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 39% | 92 | 78 |
| 7 | Thunder | 61% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 83 | ||
| 19 | Pacers | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 19% | 92 | 104 |
| 1 | Spurs | 81% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 97 | ||
| 17 | Nuggets | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 41% | 98 | 112 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 120 | ||
| 27 | Lakers | 119 | ||
Wednesday, November 26, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 105 | ||
| 26 | Hornets | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 30% | 97 | 87 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 70% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 111 | ||
| 24 | Magic | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 71% | 104 | 99 |
| 30 | 76ers | 29% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 102 | ||
| 3 | Mavericks | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 57% | 103 | 126 |
| 16 | Hawks | 43% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 104 | ||
| 25 | Pistons | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 28% | 93 | 89 |
| 5 | Rockets | 72% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 103 | ||
| 23 | Timberwolves | 86 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 39% | 93 | 82 |
| 9 | Thunder | 61% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 100 | ||
| 1 | Spurs | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 34% | 103 | 112 |
| 12 | Suns | 66% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 99 | ||
| 28 | Lakers | 93 | ||
Tuesday, November 25, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 43% | 96 | 106 |
| 17 | Wizards | 57% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 114 | ||
| 13 | Heat | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 51% | 100 | 86 |
| 29 | Bucks | 49% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 99 | ||
| 12 | Pelicans | 89 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 40% | 102 | 109 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 60% | 106 | 114 |