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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 16, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Timberwolves20%9495
13Wizards80%105109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 24.9
37.2
31.5
12
52%
12
1
0
1
3
0
3
9
6-8
75%
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
35.4
32.5
29
60%
4
2
2
2
0
1
2
2
5-12
42%
12-19
5-11
63%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 19.8
35.0
33.4
9
44%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
3-3
100%
3-8
5-12
38%
42%
0-1
0%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 19.8
33.8
34.1
8
40%
3
8
0
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
2-8
4-9
25%
43%
1-1
100%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.8
30.4
32.6
4
29%
4
1
1
2
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 22.1
27.7
25.3
21
56%
4
0
3
1
0
1
3
1
2-4
50%
8-14
5-11
57%
46%
1-3
33%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 32.0
14.4
8.8
6
47%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
43%
1-1
100%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 28.8
10.7
8.4
4
60%
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
6
0-3
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 21.8
6.3
16.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Robbie Hummel
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.8
6.3
7.2
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 20.9
2.8
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.6
7.2
0
1-1
42%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 28.9
6.0
0
1-2
50%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 31.9
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
38.4
35.3
21
59%
4
17
2
2
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
7-13
6-11
54%
49%
2-4
50%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.5
37.7
35.3
10
38%
2
3
3
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-9
5-10
22%
47%
1-3
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
28.2
27.4
15
58%
5
2
0
1
2
0
3
2
1-2
50%
7-12
5-10
58%
56%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
26.9
26.2
6
77%
10
0
0
1
2
0
1
9
2-2
100%
2-3
4-9
67%
51%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.5
22.6
11.6
10
63%
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
52%
2-2
100%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
27.7
23.4
23
72%
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
5-10
2-4
50%
49%
4-5
80%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.3
21.0
19.9
11
60%
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
3-5
60%
4-7
4-7
57%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.0
17.1
15.2
10
73%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.6
10.3
1.7
3
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.7
7.5
11.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.7
2.1
1.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
0.5
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.2
25.9
1
3-6
51%
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 24.0
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.