Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 16, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Timberwolves | 20% | 94 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Heat | 95 | ||
 | 20 | Nets | 91 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Pelicans | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Mavericks | 66% | 108 | 107 |
 | 21 | Knicks | 34% | 103 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Thunder | 104 | ||
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Monday, December 15, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Hornets | 21% | 96 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Lakers | 91 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Celtics | 59% | 103 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Bulls | 86 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Magic | 31% | 96 | 82 |
 | 9 | Raptors | 69% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bucks | 96 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pistons | 91 | ||
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Sunday, December 14, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 128 | ||
| 17 | Pelicans | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 52% | 100 | 93 |
| 14 | Heat | 48% | 99 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 84 | ||
| 15 | Wizards | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 52% | 107 | 100 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 48% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 88 | ||
| 6 | Thunder | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 63% | 105 | 95 |
| 21 | Knicks | 37% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 99 | ||
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Saturday, December 13, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 105 | ||
| 4 | Mavericks | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 41% | 94 | 114 |
| 22 | Hornets | 59% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 95 | ||
| 17 | Pacers | 85 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 58% | 99 | 99 |
| 24 | Magic | 42% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 106 | ||
| 27 | Bucks | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 78% | 101 | 120 |
| 30 | 76ers | 22% | 90 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 96 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 35% | 98 | 95 |
| 16 | Kings | 65% | 103 | 90 |
Friday, December 12, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 106 | ||
| 10 | Bulls | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 62% | 104 | 96 |
| 17 | Wizards | 38% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 81 | ||
| 13 | Hawks | 87 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 42% | 102 | 101 |
| 20 | Celtics | 58% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 70 | ||
| 21 | Nets | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 24% | 95 | 94 |
| 8 | Raptors | 76% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 107 | ||
| 9 | Grizzlies | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 73% | 105 | 111 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 27% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 114 | ||
| 15 | Pelicans | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 26% | 100 | 105 |
| 12 | Suns | 74% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 100 | ||
| 26 | Jazz | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 21% | 97 | 112 |
| 1 | Spurs | 79% | 108 | 110 |
Thursday, December 11, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 94 | ||
| 6 | Thunder | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 55% | 101 | 113 |
| 17 | Kings | 45% | 99 | 109 |
Wednesday, December 10, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Celtics | 87 | ||
| 23 | Hornets | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 73% | 105 | 103 |
| 18 | Pacers | 27% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 91 | ||
| 24 | Magic | 89 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 18% | 92 | 79 |
| 13 | Hawks | 82% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 80 | ||
| 10 | Bulls | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 74% | 109 | 82 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 26% | 101 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 95 | ||
| 1 | Spurs | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 27% | 103 | 107 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 73% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 93 | ||
| 2 | Warriors | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 43% | 101 | 82 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 57% | 103 | 102 |
Tuesday, December 9, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 101 | ||
| 5 | Cavaliers | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 105 | 98 |
| 25 | Pistons | 33% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 105 | ||
| 9 | Grizzlies | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 34% | 99 | 93 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 66% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 101 | ||
| 6 | Thunder | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 41% | 99 | 103 |
| 12 | Suns | 59% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 96 | ||
| 28 | Jazz | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 47% | 104 | 95 |
| 29 | Lakers | 53% | 105 | 98 |
Monday, December 8, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 54% | 97 | 108 |
| 18 | Pacers | 46% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Celtics | 132 | ||
| 16 | Wizards | 133 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 66% | 105 | 110 |
| 20 | Nets | 34% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 107 | ||
| 7 | Raptors | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 86% | 111 | 102 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 14% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 92 | ||
| 15 | Kings | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 26% | 102 | 120 |
| 3 | Clippers | 74% | 111 | 121 |
Sunday, December 7, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 93 | ||
| 21 | Celtics | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 36% | 102 | 84 |
| 13 | Hawks | 64% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 87 | ||
| 9 | Grizzlies | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 71% | 101 | 96 |
| 27 | Pistons | 29% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 102 | ||
| 4 | Mavericks | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 104 | 103 |
| 22 | Knicks | 37% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 104 | ||
| 29 | Lakers | 87 | ||
Saturday, December 6, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 108 | ||
| 25 | Pistons | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 55% | 102 | 112 |
| 9 | Bulls | 45% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 95 | ||
| 7 | Rockets | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 10% | 92 | 101 |
| 1 | Spurs | 90% | 110 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 105 | ||
| 16 | Kings | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 27% | 101 | 100 |
| 4 | Clippers | 73% | 109 | 120 |
Friday, December 5, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 102 | ||
| 25 | Hornets | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 80% | 102 | 103 |
| 30 | 76ers | 20% | 90 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 89 | ||
| 17 | Wizards | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 40% | 107 | 96 |
| 21 | Celtics | 60% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 98 | ||
| 20 | Nets | 75 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 40% | 104 | 105 |
| 6 | Raptors | 60% | 107 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 107 | ||
| 10 | Grizzlies | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 70% | 105 | 114 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 30% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 118 | ||
| 3 | Mavericks | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 56% | 99 | 85 |
| 28 | Bucks | 44% | 97 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 98 | ||
| 26 | Jazz | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 36% | 95 | 101 |
| 16 | Kings | 64% | 99 | 102 |
Thursday, December 4, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 65% | 105 | 90 |
| 21 | Knicks | 35% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 82 | ||
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 26% | 98 | 85 |
| 3 | Warriors | 74% | 107 | 112 |
Wednesday, December 3, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 60% | 99 | 102 |
| 29 | Hornets | 40% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 95 | ||
| 17 | Wizards | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 41% | 102 | 102 |
| 22 | Celtics | 59% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 93 | ||
| 20 | Nets | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 37% | 95 | 112 |
| 12 | Heat | 63% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 96 | ||
| 5 | Rockets | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 68% | 108 | 107 |
| 27 | Bucks | 32% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 85 | ||
| 23 | Timberwolves | 77 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 61% | 105 | 123 |
| 26 | Jazz | 39% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 86 | ||
| 4 | Clippers | 114 | ||