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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 16, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Thunder
104
18Kings
92
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
35
27
26
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-3
33%
11-21
5-9
52%
53%
1-4
25%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
34
25
9
6
2
0
0
7
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
54%
1-3
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
32
31
32
6
7
4
2
0
1
3
3
9-12
75%
10-17
6-13
59%
48%
1-3
33%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.4
26
23
5
10
0
1
1
1
1
4
6
1-4
25%
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.0
23
20
4
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.1
21
20
0
4
2
0
0
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.7
20
24
8
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
18
25
10
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
2-5
-
46%
3-5
60%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.5
15
13
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.1
13
13
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.2
1
15
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.4
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
3
0
0-1
43%
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.4
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.3
35
34
22
6
3
1
1
1
3
1
5
5-6
83%
7-18
6-13
39%
47%
1-2
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.4
34
26
6
9
3
1
0
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
49%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.8
32
31
10
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
2-6
33%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.3
26
33
6
5
3
2
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.6
19
19
4
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
22
9
11
4
4
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
44%
1-3
33%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.2
22
19
14
4
1
1
0
0
3
2
2
2-3
67%
6-8
3-6
75%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.2
17
16
6
9
3
0
0
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
60%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.6
17
21
8
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
6-6
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.2
16
15
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
9
0
1-2
42%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.5
7
0
1-2
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.3
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.